Stock Analysis

Lifeway Foods, Inc. (NASDAQ:LWAY) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 34%

NasdaqGM:LWAY
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Lifeway Foods, Inc. (NASDAQ:LWAY) shares have retraced a considerable 34% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 77% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Lifeway Foods may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.8x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 17x and even P/E's higher than 32x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Lifeway Foods as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Lifeway Foods

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:LWAY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 16th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lifeway Foods.

How Is Lifeway Foods' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Lifeway Foods' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 407% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 213% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 0.8% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Lifeway Foods is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Lifeway Foods' recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Lifeway Foods maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Lifeway Foods is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Lifeway Foods, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lifeway Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lifeway Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com