The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 28% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 52% loss during that time.
Since its price has dipped substantially, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Food industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 0.8x, you may consider Hain Celestial Group as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
We've discovered 1 warning sign about Hain Celestial Group. View them for free.Check out our latest analysis for Hain Celestial Group
How Has Hain Celestial Group Performed Recently?
Hain Celestial Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Hain Celestial Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Hain Celestial Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hain Celestial Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 11% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.4% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 1.5%, which paints a poor picture.
With this information, we are not surprised that Hain Celestial Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Hain Celestial Group's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Food companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Hain Celestial Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Hain Celestial Group's poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Hain Celestial Group that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hain Celestial Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.