Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:HAIN) Current Share Price Momentum?

NasdaqGS:HAIN
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Most readers would already be aware that Hain Celestial Group's (NASDAQ:HAIN) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Hain Celestial Group's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Hain Celestial Group

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hain Celestial Group is:

1.3% = US$18m ÷ US$1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.01 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Hain Celestial Group's Earnings Growth And 1.3% ROE

It is quite clear that Hain Celestial Group's ROE is rather low. Even when compared to the industry average of 9.1%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Hain Celestial Group's five year net income decline of 50% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

However, when we compared Hain Celestial Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.6% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:HAIN Past Earnings Growth August 21st 2020

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hain Celestial Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Hain Celestial Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hain Celestial Group doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Hain Celestial Group. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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