Stock Analysis

Sentiment Still Eluding Farmer Bros. Co. (NASDAQ:FARM)

NasdaqGS:FARM
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Farmer Bros. Co.'s (NASDAQ:FARM) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x may look like a pretty appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Food industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 0.8x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Farmer Bros

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:FARM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2024

What Does Farmer Bros' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Farmer Bros has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Farmer Bros.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Farmer Bros' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. Still, revenue has fallen 26% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.2% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 1.7%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it odd that Farmer Bros is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Farmer Bros remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Farmer Bros you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Farmer Bros, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Farmer Bros is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.