Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (NASDAQ:CALM)?

NasdaqGS:CALM
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With its stock down 20% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Cal-Maine Foods' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Cal-Maine Foods

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cal-Maine Foods is:

31% = US$627m ÷ US$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to November 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.31 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Cal-Maine Foods' Earnings Growth And 31% ROE

First thing first, we like that Cal-Maine Foods has an impressive ROE. Secondly, even when compared to the industry average of 10% the company's ROE is quite impressive. So, the substantial 53% net income growth seen by Cal-Maine Foods over the past five years isn't overly surprising.

We then compared Cal-Maine Foods' net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 5.6% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:CALM Past Earnings Growth February 27th 2025

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Cal-Maine Foods is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Cal-Maine Foods Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Cal-Maine Foods' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 33%, meaning the company retains 67% of its income. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Cal-Maine Foods is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Besides, Cal-Maine Foods has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Cal-Maine Foods' performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.