Trillion Energy International Inc.

OTCPK:TRLE.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$7.2m

Trillion Energy International Valuation

Is TRLE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRLE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$3.77
Fair Value
98.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: TRLE.F ($0.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($3.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRLE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRLE.F?

Key metric: As TRLE.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRLE.F. This is calculated by dividing TRLE.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRLE.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.9x
SalesUS$7.61m
Market CapUS$7.21m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRLE.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRLE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
EONR EON Resources
0.5x44.7%US$13.5m
ROYL Royale Energy
2.2xn/aUS$5.1m
MARP.S Marine Petroleum Trust
7.9xn/aUS$8.4m
LNGN.F LNG Energy Group
0.3xn/aUS$9.7m
TRLE.F Trillion Energy International
0.9xn/aUS$10.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRLE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRLE.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

40 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSX Phillips 66
0.3x-6.1%US$48.96b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.3x-4.5%US$47.44b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x-3.5%US$42.76b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.3x2.4%US$14.49b
No. of Companies40PS01.63.24.86.48+
40 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRLE.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRLE.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRLE.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.9x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRLE.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRLE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.045
US$0.21
+365.1%
16.7%US$0.24US$0.17n/a2
Jan ’26US$0.053
US$0.20
+275.9%
16.6%US$0.25US$0.18n/a3
Dec ’25US$0.053
US$0.20
+281.3%
16.6%US$0.25US$0.18n/a3
Nov ’25US$0.068
US$0.20
+199.1%
16.6%US$0.25US$0.18n/a3
Oct ’25US$0.082
US$0.21
+155.5%
16.6%US$0.26US$0.18n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.10
US$0.21
+106.2%
16.6%US$0.26US$0.18n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.088
US$0.21
+133.1%
16.6%US$0.25US$0.18n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.097
US$0.21
+114.2%
16.6%US$0.26US$0.18n/a3
May ’25US$0.10
US$0.25
+154.4%
40.4%US$0.40US$0.18n/a3
Apr ’25US$0.12
US$0.30
+138.7%
37.5%US$0.41US$0.19n/a2
Mar ’25US$0.14
US$0.30
+117.2%
37.5%US$0.41US$0.19n/a2
Feb ’25US$0.17
US$0.30
+73.5%
37.5%US$0.41US$0.19n/a2
Jan ’25US$0.19
US$1.78
+812.9%
68.4%US$2.99US$0.56US$0.0532
Dec ’24US$0.22
US$1.76
+715.8%
68.4%US$2.96US$0.56US$0.0532
Nov ’24US$0.21
US$2.25
+964.0%
28.0%US$2.88US$1.62US$0.0682
Oct ’24US$0.74
US$2.31
+211.0%
28.0%US$2.96US$1.66US$0.0822
Sep ’24US$1.13
US$3.60
+219.4%
53.8%US$5.54US$1.66US$0.102
Aug ’24US$1.33
US$4.74
+257.7%
17.6%US$5.58US$3.90US$0.0882
Jul ’24US$1.45
US$4.74
+225.8%
17.6%US$5.58US$3.90US$0.0842
Jun ’24US$1.29
US$4.74
+266.5%
17.6%US$5.58US$3.90US$0.0972
May ’24US$1.49
US$5.36
+259.9%
5.3%US$5.64US$5.08US$0.102
Apr ’24US$1.44
US$5.36
+273.3%
5.3%US$5.64US$5.08US$0.122
Mar ’24US$1.30
US$5.36
+312.9%
5.3%US$5.64US$5.08US$0.142
Feb ’24US$1.44
US$5.36
+273.3%
5.3%US$5.64US$5.08US$0.172
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
US$0.22
Fair Value
80.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/23 01:30
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Trillion Energy International Inc. is covered by 4 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Philip SkolnickEight Capital
Christopher TrueEight Capital
Bill NewmanResearch Capital Corporation