Topaz Energy Valuation

Is TPZE.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPZE.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPZE.F ($17.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($37.89)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPZE.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPZE.F?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TPZE.F key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue11.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.1x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPZE.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TPZE.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.4x
CPE Callon Petroleum
5.9x3.2%US$2.4b
KOS Kosmos Energy
11.2x18.2%US$2.5b
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners
28.8x33.6%US$1.5b
CRK Comstock Resources
51.6x67.8%US$3.2b
TPZE.F Topaz Energy
73x22.9%US$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPZE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73x) compared to the peer average (24.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPZE.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPZE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPZE.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPZE.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio73x
Fair PE Ratio15.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TPZE.F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (73x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPZE.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$17.26
US$20.15
+16.8%
7.9%US$24.05US$18.22n/a13
Jun ’25US$16.77
US$20.05
+19.6%
7.7%US$23.97US$18.16n/a14
May ’25US$16.31
US$20.05
+22.9%
7.7%US$23.97US$18.16n/a14
Apr ’25US$16.48
US$19.89
+20.7%
7.9%US$22.25US$17.05n/a14
Mar ’25US$14.98
US$19.62
+31.0%
8.1%US$22.21US$17.03n/a13
Feb ’25US$14.31
US$19.92
+39.2%
7.3%US$22.39US$17.91n/a13
Jan ’25US$14.67
US$20.85
+42.1%
8.8%US$24.00US$18.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$14.50
US$20.17
+39.1%
8.2%US$23.08US$17.31n/a14
Nov ’24US$15.81
US$20.17
+27.6%
8.2%US$23.08US$17.31n/a14
Oct ’24US$15.88
US$20.34
+28.1%
8.9%US$23.45US$16.86n/a14
Sep ’24US$16.13
US$20.41
+26.5%
9.1%US$23.60US$16.96n/a14
Aug ’24US$15.90
US$20.69
+30.2%
8.8%US$24.08US$17.31n/a14
Jul ’24US$15.33
US$20.46
+33.4%
9.3%US$23.93US$17.20n/a14
Jun ’24US$15.60
US$19.89
+27.5%
9.8%US$23.54US$16.92US$16.7715
May ’24US$14.31
US$20.02
+39.8%
10.4%US$23.64US$16.25US$16.3115
Apr ’24US$14.13
US$20.34
+44.0%
9.5%US$23.59US$16.22US$16.4815
Mar ’24US$14.16
US$20.96
+48.0%
8.0%US$23.53US$18.02US$14.9815
Feb ’24US$15.05
US$21.77
+44.7%
8.5%US$24.05US$18.41US$14.3115
Jan ’24US$15.50
US$22.41
+44.6%
7.5%US$26.44US$19.46US$14.6714
Dec ’23US$17.55
US$22.82
+30.0%
7.8%US$27.04US$19.91US$14.5014
Nov ’23US$17.23
US$22.08
+28.2%
8.2%US$26.42US$18.71US$15.8114
Oct ’23US$15.10
US$21.92
+45.1%
7.9%US$26.28US$18.98US$15.8814
Sep ’23US$15.27
US$22.92
+50.1%
7.3%US$27.00US$19.67US$16.1315
Aug ’23US$17.39
US$23.11
+32.9%
7.6%US$27.30US$19.89US$15.9014
Jul ’23US$15.77
US$23.11
+46.5%
7.8%US$27.19US$20.59US$15.3314
Jun ’23US$18.92
US$22.49
+18.9%
7.5%US$25.71US$20.26US$15.6014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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