Crescent Energy Company

NYSE:CRGY Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.2b

Crescent Energy Valuation

Is CRGY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CRGY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$20.36
Fair Value
57.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: CRGY ($8.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CRGY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRGY?

Key metric: As CRGY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CRGY. This is calculated by dividing CRGY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CRGY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.7x
SalesUS$3.22b
Market CapUS$2.18b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CRGY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CRGY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.9x
NOG Northern Oil and Gas
1.3x3.87%US$2.6b
MNR Mach Natural Resources
1.7x-0.32%US$1.6b
TALO Talos Energy
0.7x-4.75%US$1.4b
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners
3.9x6.64%US$1.4b
CRGY Crescent Energy
0.7x3.07%US$2.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CRGY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CRGY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

43 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.4x-2.46%US$48.88b
PSX Phillips 66
0.3x-3.44%US$46.11b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x0.42%US$40.26b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.2x3.50%US$11.77b
CRGY 0.7xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies43PS01.63.24.86.48+
43 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CRGY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CRGY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CRGY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CRGY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CRGY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$8.68
US$13.75
+58.41%
19.72%US$20.00US$10.00n/a12
May ’26US$8.49
US$13.80
+62.54%
21.49%US$20.00US$8.10n/a12
Apr ’26US$11.08
US$17.00
+53.43%
15.86%US$21.00US$12.00n/a11
Mar ’26US$12.62
US$19.09
+51.28%
10.10%US$23.00US$17.00n/a11
Feb ’26US$15.06
US$18.90
+25.50%
10.16%US$23.00US$17.00n/a10
Jan ’26US$14.61
US$17.70
+21.15%
12.65%US$22.00US$14.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$14.87
US$16.45
+10.66%
11.40%US$20.00US$14.00n/a11
Nov ’25US$12.26
US$15.82
+29.02%
12.30%US$19.00US$13.00n/a11
Oct ’25US$11.17
US$15.80
+41.45%
16.70%US$20.00US$12.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$11.93
US$17.22
+44.36%
14.94%US$20.00US$14.00n/a9
Aug ’25US$11.93
US$17.43
+46.09%
12.96%US$20.00US$14.00n/a7
Jul ’25US$11.82
US$18.17
+53.69%
13.64%US$21.00US$14.00n/a6
Jun ’25US$12.60
US$18.60
+47.62%
13.43%US$21.00US$14.00n/a5
May ’25US$10.24
US$16.50
+61.13%
16.32%US$20.00US$13.00US$8.498
Apr ’25US$11.68
US$16.00
+36.99%
21.42%US$23.00US$12.00US$11.088
Mar ’25US$11.37
US$16.13
+41.82%
20.67%US$23.00US$12.00US$12.628
Feb ’25US$10.87
US$16.13
+48.34%
20.67%US$23.00US$12.00US$15.068
Jan ’25US$13.21
US$16.75
+26.80%
14.55%US$21.00US$13.00US$14.618
Dec ’24US$11.53
US$17.00
+47.44%
14.06%US$21.00US$14.00US$14.877
Nov ’24US$12.08
US$17.17
+42.11%
16.62%US$21.00US$13.00US$12.266
Oct ’24US$12.64
US$16.67
+31.86%
16.49%US$21.00US$13.00US$11.176
Sep ’24US$13.98
US$16.00
+14.45%
17.68%US$20.00US$12.00US$11.935
Aug ’24US$11.59
US$14.20
+22.52%
13.66%US$17.00US$12.00US$11.935
Jul ’24US$10.42
US$16.25
+55.95%
18.65%US$20.00US$12.00US$11.824
Jun ’24US$9.54
US$16.50
+72.96%
16.32%US$20.00US$13.00US$12.604
May ’24US$11.61
US$15.50
+33.51%
19.62%US$21.00US$12.00US$10.246
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 12 Analysts
US$13.75
Fair Value
36.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
12
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/27 21:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/23 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Crescent Energy Company is covered by 18 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John AbbottBofA Global Research
John FreemanCGS International
William JanelaCredit Suisse