NuVista Energy Ltd.

OTCPK:NUVS.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.0b

NuVista Energy Valuation

Is NUVS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NUVS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NUVS.F ($9.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NUVS.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NUVS.F?

Key metric: As NUVS.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NUVS.F. This is calculated by dividing NUVS.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NUVS.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.6x
EarningsCA$296.08m
Market CapCA$2.85b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NUVS.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NUVS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
TALO Talos Energy
24.8x-78.7%US$1.8b
KOS Kosmos Energy
8.3x2.1%US$1.8b
DMLP Dorchester Minerals
14.5xn/aUS$1.6b
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners
34.4x32.4%US$1.6b
NUVS.F NuVista Energy
9.6x22.5%US$2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NUVS.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
USDP USD Partners
1.9xn/aUS$1.15m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NUVS.F 9.6xIndustry Avg. 11.3xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NUVS.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NUVS.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NUVS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.60
US$12.01
+25.1%
12.0%US$15.68US$9.76n/a12
Dec ’25US$9.63
US$11.89
+23.5%
12.6%US$16.00US$9.95n/a12
Nov ’25US$8.11
US$11.87
+46.3%
13.5%US$16.24US$10.11n/a12
Oct ’25US$8.38
US$12.48
+48.9%
14.5%US$16.68US$10.38n/a12
Sep ’25US$9.36
US$12.91
+38.0%
11.7%US$16.68US$11.12n/a12
Aug ’25US$9.53
US$12.55
+31.7%
12.4%US$16.33US$10.89n/a12
Jul ’25US$10.29
US$12.10
+17.6%
13.4%US$16.42US$10.22n/a12
Jun ’25US$10.01
US$11.74
+17.2%
10.5%US$14.93US$10.20n/a13
May ’25US$8.95
US$11.80
+31.8%
10.5%US$15.00US$10.25n/a13
Apr ’25US$8.79
US$11.31
+28.8%
13.3%US$15.06US$9.55n/a12
Mar ’25US$8.68
US$11.22
+29.3%
13.8%US$15.10US$9.58n/a12
Feb ’25US$7.74
US$11.48
+48.3%
12.8%US$15.22US$9.65n/a12
Jan ’25US$8.55
US$12.25
+43.3%
11.9%US$15.33US$9.72US$9.5412
Dec ’24US$8.77
US$12.09
+37.8%
10.3%US$14.97US$10.22US$9.6313
Nov ’24US$9.77
US$11.90
+21.8%
10.8%US$14.78US$10.10US$8.1113
Oct ’24US$9.64
US$11.85
+22.9%
12.4%US$15.19US$10.01US$8.3813
Sep ’24US$9.50
US$11.50
+21.1%
12.5%US$15.12US$9.96US$9.3613
Aug ’24US$8.61
US$11.72
+36.2%
12.7%US$15.56US$10.25US$9.5313
Jul ’24US$8.04
US$12.01
+49.4%
12.3%US$15.47US$10.19US$10.2913
Jun ’24US$8.16
US$11.80
+44.6%
11.5%US$15.08US$10.30US$10.0113
May ’24US$8.79
US$12.13
+38.1%
11.5%US$15.24US$10.40US$8.9513
Apr ’24US$8.15
US$11.91
+46.1%
9.3%US$14.01US$10.32US$8.7913
Mar ’24US$8.99
US$12.43
+38.2%
9.3%US$14.55US$10.45US$8.6813
Feb ’24US$8.33
US$12.61
+51.4%
8.1%US$14.63US$11.07US$7.7413
Jan ’24US$9.18
US$12.40
+35.2%
8.3%US$14.28US$10.80US$8.5513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/05 09:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/03 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

NuVista Energy Ltd. is covered by 27 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick O'RourkeATB Capital Markets
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Anthony PetrucciCanaccord Genuity