NuVista Energy Ltd.

OTCPK:NUVS.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.2b

NuVista Energy Valuation

Is NUVS.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NUVS.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$20.27
Fair Value
43.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: NUVS.F ($11.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NUVS.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NUVS.F?

Key metric: As NUVS.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NUVS.F. This is calculated by dividing NUVS.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NUVS.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
EarningsCA$351.58m
Market CapCA$3.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NUVS.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NUVS.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
SM SM Energy
3.7x-14.40%US$2.8b
CRGY Crescent Energy
99.7x36.39%US$2.2b
BSM Black Stone Minerals
11.5x4.91%US$2.8b
NOG Northern Oil and Gas
4x-29.51%US$2.3b
NUVS.F NuVista Energy
9x7.84%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NUVS.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GFR Greenfire Resources
2.3xn/aUS$321.06m
TGA TransGlobe Energy
2.2xn/aUS$272.31m
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
AVAC.F Avance Gas Holding
0.006xn/aUS$1.46m
NUVS.F 9.0xIndustry Avg. 13.4xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NUVS.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NUVS.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio15.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NUVS.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NUVS.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.55
US$12.60
+9.13%
5.42%US$13.65US$11.50n/a13
Sep ’26US$10.61
US$12.68
+19.48%
5.64%US$13.73US$11.56n/a13
Aug ’26US$10.37
US$12.51
+20.61%
6.60%US$14.52US$11.61n/a13
Jul ’26US$11.00
US$12.65
+15.00%
6.60%US$14.68US$11.75n/a13
Jun ’26US$10.14
US$12.09
+19.24%
6.69%US$13.01US$10.12n/a13
May ’26US$8.55
US$12.11
+41.61%
8.07%US$13.72US$10.11n/a13
Apr ’26US$9.57
US$12.13
+26.74%
9.78%US$13.98US$9.78n/a12
Mar ’26US$8.16
US$12.21
+49.63%
11.94%US$15.63US$9.72n/a12
Feb ’26US$9.01
US$12.21
+35.62%
11.94%US$15.63US$9.72n/a12
Jan ’26US$9.54
US$12.09
+26.79%
12.05%US$15.79US$9.82n/a12
Dec ’25US$9.63
US$11.89
+23.50%
12.61%US$16.00US$9.95n/a12
Nov ’25US$8.11
US$11.87
+46.31%
13.49%US$16.24US$10.11n/a12
Oct ’25US$8.38
US$12.48
+48.89%
14.47%US$16.68US$10.38US$11.6512
Sep ’25US$9.36
US$12.91
+38.04%
11.71%US$16.68US$11.12US$10.6112
Aug ’25US$9.53
US$12.55
+31.68%
12.35%US$16.33US$10.89US$10.3712
Jul ’25US$10.29
US$12.10
+17.63%
13.36%US$16.42US$10.22US$11.0012
Jun ’25US$10.01
US$11.74
+17.24%
10.48%US$14.93US$10.20US$10.1413
May ’25US$8.95
US$11.80
+31.79%
10.48%US$15.00US$10.25US$8.5513
Apr ’25US$8.79
US$11.31
+28.76%
13.35%US$15.06US$9.55US$9.5712
Mar ’25US$8.68
US$11.22
+29.28%
13.76%US$15.10US$9.58US$8.1612
Feb ’25US$7.74
US$11.48
+48.29%
12.83%US$15.22US$9.65US$9.0112
Jan ’25US$8.55
US$12.25
+43.26%
11.92%US$15.33US$9.72US$9.5412
Dec ’24US$8.77
US$12.09
+37.83%
10.33%US$14.97US$10.22US$9.6313
Nov ’24US$9.77
US$11.90
+21.78%
10.84%US$14.78US$10.10US$8.1113
Oct ’24US$9.64
US$11.85
+22.88%
12.40%US$15.19US$10.01US$8.3813
US$12.53
Fair Value
7.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/10/03 15:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/10/03 00:00
Earnings2025/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

NuVista Energy Ltd. is covered by 31 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Patrick O'RourkeATB Capital Markets
null nullBMO Capital Markets Equity Research
Randy OllenbergerBMO Capital Markets Equity Research