How Investors May Respond To Phillips 66 (PSX) Asset Sale and New Chief Economist Appointment
- Phillips 66 recently announced the appointment of Sean Maher as its new chief economist, effective October 1, following the retirement of Jeff Dietert after eight years with the company.
- This leadership change, together with the US$2.8 billion sale of its German and Austrian fuel retail business, signals a move to align the company's portfolio and expertise with evolving industry priorities.
- We'll now explore how Phillips 66's asset sale and new chief economist may influence its investment narrative and future direction.
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Phillips 66 Investment Narrative Recap
To own Phillips 66 shares today, you need confidence in its ability to streamline operations and capture growth in midstream, even as refining and renewables face ongoing headwinds. The new chief economist appointment and recent retail asset sale reinforce this focus but do not materially impact the biggest near-term catalyst, the push for midstream earnings growth. Financial risks remain, with high debt and pressure on profit margins as significant concerns.
The sale of the German and Austrian retail business for US$2.8 billion is especially relevant here, as it accelerates Phillips 66’s plan to rationalize its asset base. This move could help the company sharpen its focus on more profitable areas that support near-term growth targets, such as midstream EBITDA, though investors should keep an eye on how these proceeds are redeployed.
However, despite these positive moves, investors should be aware of the potential impact if...
Read the full narrative on Phillips 66 (it's free!)
Phillips 66's outlook anticipates $120.0 billion in revenue and $5.2 billion in earnings by 2028. This reflects a 3.4% annual decline in revenue and an increase in earnings of $3.5 billion from the current $1.7 billion.
Uncover how Phillips 66's forecasts yield a $136.58 fair value, a 3% upside to its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$85 to US$339,750, showing widely different expectations. While some see substantial upside, be sure to consider how margin pressures and high debt might affect future returns, explore these contrasting opinions to deepen your understanding.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Phillips 66 - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Build Your Own Phillips 66 Narrative
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your Phillips 66 research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
- Our free Phillips 66 research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Phillips 66's overall financial health at a glance.
No Opportunity In Phillips 66?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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