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Phillips 66

NYSE:PSX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$103.2b

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  • Valuation
  • Future Growth
  • Past Performance
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Phillips 66 Balance Sheet Health

Financial Health criteria checks 4/6

Phillips 66 has a total shareholder equity of $32.7B and total debt of $20.6B, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 62.9%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $81.8B and $49.1B respectively. Phillips 66's EBIT is $7.6B making its interest coverage ratio 7.5. It has cash and short-term investments of $4.1B.

Key information

62.88%

Debt to equity ratio

US$20.57b

Debt

Interest coverage ratio7.5x
CashUS$4.10b
EquityUS$32.70b
Total liabilitiesUS$49.11b
Total assetsUS$81.81b

Recent financial health updates

No updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Sep 10

Phillips 66: I Was Wrong On The Duration, Not On The Cycle

Summary Phillips 66 remains a Hold as current valuation fully prices in strong earnings and favorable macro tailwinds. Q2 results were robust, with non-GAAP EPS of $9.41 and EBITDA of $5.89B, driven by record refining margins and high crude utilization. Balance sheet strength improved markedly as net debt fell to $16.5B and liquidity reached $10.5B, with further deleveraging targeted. Buyback acceleration and sustained margin strength are key forward levers, but risks include geopolitical de-escalation and potential policy intervention. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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Narrative Update • Sep 03

PSX: Tight Refining Margins And Debt Reduction Will Support Stronger Earnings

Analysts raised the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $240.00 to about $299.72, citing higher price targets across the Street that reflect updated refining margin assumptions, Renewable Volume Obligation developments, and company specific balance sheet progress. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Phillips 66 points to a broadly constructive tone, with many bullish analysts revisiting models after Q2 and adjusting assumptions around refining margins, Renewable Volume Obligation outcomes, and balance sheet progress.
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Narrative Update • Aug 19

PSX: Refining Margin Tailwinds Will Eventually Fade Against Overstretched Earnings

Phillips 66's analyst fair value estimate has shifted from $153.03 to $169.78 as analysts factor in higher Street price targets supported by strong refining crack spreads, tight refined product inventories, improved balance sheet progress, and solid cash generation across refining, midstream, and chemicals. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 points to a broadly supportive stance on the stock, with many firms updating models after the latest quarterly results and refining margin data.
Analysis Article • Aug 08

Results: Phillips 66 Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts

A week ago, Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ) came out with a strong set of second-quarter numbers that could potentially lead...
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Narrative Update • Aug 05

PSX: Elevated Refining Margins And Buybacks Will Support Future Cash Flows

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has been lifted to $207.53 from $194.11, with analysts pointing to tighter global refining fundamentals, firmer crack spreads, and continued operational improvement as key supports for higher valuation multiples and revenue growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Phillips 66 shows a clear split between more optimistic and more cautious views, with most firms lifting price targets while differing on how much premium the stock should command and how durable current refining conditions might be.
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Narrative Update • Jul 22

PSX: Tight Refining Supply And Efficiency Gains Will Support Stronger Earnings

Analysts have raised the Phillips 66 fair value estimate to $240 from $213. This reflects updated price targets that factor in tighter global refining supply and demand conditions, strong refining margins, and a continued focus on earnings resilience and shareholder returns across recent research.
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Narrative Update • Jul 08

PSX: Elevated Refining Margins Will Likely Prove Unsustainable For Earnings

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 from $138.00 to about $153.03, citing higher Street price targets supported by expectations for strong refining margins, an improved profit outlook, and planned capital structure improvements across the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 points to generally supportive sentiment, with several firms increasing price targets and highlighting factors such as refining margins, capital structure plans, and earnings sensitivity to refining and chemicals margins.
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Narrative Update • Jun 24

PSX: Elevated Refining Margins Will Support Future Cash Flows

For Phillips 66, the analyst price target has been raised by about $3 to $194, as analysts point to elevated refining margins, tighter product inventories and improving refining operations as support for a higher fair value and slightly richer future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Phillips 66 centers on how refining margins, product inventories and execution on refining and midstream plans feed into valuation, earnings expectations and updated price targets.
Analysis Article • Jun 20

Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Could Be 12.9% Undervalued on Its Growth Narrative

Phillips 66 (PSX) remains in focus after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $166.14. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s earnings profile, segment mix and recent return history. See our latest analysis for Phillips 66. Recent trading has been choppy for Phillips 66, with the share price down 7.4% over the past week and 5.3% over 90 days, yet still showing a 27.2% year to date share price return and a 5 year total shareholder return of 122.9% that points to...
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Narrative Update • Jun 06

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Balance Refining Execution And Midstream Expansion

Analysts have raised the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $187.42 to $190.84, reflecting updated expectations for refining operations, chemicals margins, and execution on earnings focused initiatives that have also supported a series of higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Phillips 66 has turned more active, with multiple firms adjusting ratings and targets as they reassess refining performance, chemicals margins, and progress on earnings focused initiatives.
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Narrative Update • May 22

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Refining Execution And Midstream Buildout

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has been raised from $180.95 to $187.42 as analysts factor in the company's efforts to improve refining operations, its progress toward a $4.5b Midstream EBITDA goal, and expectations for supportive refining and chemical margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has centered on refining execution, Midstream growth targets, and how the current margin setup could influence earnings and valuation.
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Narrative Update • Apr 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion

Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
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New Narrative • Apr 20

Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
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Narrative Update • Apr 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
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New Narrative • Apr 02

Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter

Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?
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Narrative Update • Mar 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment

Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.
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Narrative Update • Mar 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift

Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.
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Narrative Update • Feb 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift

Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.
Analysis Article • Feb 11

Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance

Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...
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Narrative Update • Feb 10

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.
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Narrative Update • Jan 26

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.
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Narrative Update • Jan 12

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support

Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.
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Narrative Update • Dec 23

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support

Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.
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Narrative Update • Dec 09

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks

Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.
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Narrative Update • Nov 25

PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead

The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.
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Narrative Update • Nov 03

PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.
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Narrative Update • Oct 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.
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Narrative Update • Oct 05

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.
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Narrative Update • Sep 20

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.
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Narrative Update • Aug 27

NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success

Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.

Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: PSX's short term assets ($24.2B) exceed its short term liabilities ($18.4B).

Long Term Liabilities: PSX's short term assets ($24.2B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($30.8B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: PSX's net debt to equity ratio (50.4%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: PSX's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 74.8% to 62.9% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: PSX's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (43.4%).

Interest Coverage: PSX's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT (7.5x coverage).


Balance Sheet


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/11 09:49
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/11 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
  • Analyst Research Reports
  • Blue Matrix
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
  • ICE Market Data
  • SEC Form S-1
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
  • SEC Form 4
  • SEC Form 13D
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
  • SEC Form 10-K
  • SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements
  • SEC Form 8-K

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Phillips 66 is covered by 32 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research

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