Phillips 66 Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 4/6
Phillips 66 is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 2.96% that is well covered by earnings.
Key information
3.0%
Dividend yield
1.5%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 4.5% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Growth | 7.1% |
| Next dividend pay date | n/a |
| Ex dividend date | n/a |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 48% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 24
PSX: Elevated Refining Margins Will Support Future Cash Flows
For Phillips 66, the analyst price target has been raised by about $3 to $194, as analysts point to elevated refining margins, tighter product inventories and improving refining operations as support for a higher fair value and slightly richer future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Phillips 66 centers on how refining margins, product inventories and execution on refining and midstream plans feed into valuation, earnings expectations and updated price targets.Analysis Article • Jun 20
Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Could Be 12.9% Undervalued on Its Growth Narrative
Phillips 66 (PSX) remains in focus after recent share price moves, with the stock closing at $166.14. Investors are weighing this level against the company’s earnings profile, segment mix and recent return history. See our latest analysis for Phillips 66. Recent trading has been choppy for Phillips 66, with the share price down 7.4% over the past week and 5.3% over 90 days, yet still showing a 27.2% year to date share price return and a 5 year total shareholder return of 122.9% that points to...Seeking Alpha • Jun 19
Phillips 66: A Reliable Growth And Income Play, But Geopolitical Uncertainty Remains
Summary Phillips 66 has navigated past material risks, such as the DAPL dispute, through strategic diversification. Current volatility, driven by geopolitical uncertainty like the Iranian situation, presents potential entry points for investors seeking value in PSX's diversified margin-driven model. PSX's commitment to an investment-grade credit rating underpins industry outperformance. Position sizing should reflect PSX's volatility; a small or basket approach can offer risk-adjusted, 'sleep well at night' exposure during turbulent periods. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Jun 06
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Balance Refining Execution And Midstream Expansion
Analysts have raised the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $187.42 to $190.84, reflecting updated expectations for refining operations, chemicals margins, and execution on earnings focused initiatives that have also supported a series of higher Street price targets. Analyst Commentary Street research around Phillips 66 has turned more active, with multiple firms adjusting ratings and targets as they reassess refining performance, chemicals margins, and progress on earnings focused initiatives.Narrative Update • May 22
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Refining Execution And Midstream Buildout
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has been raised from $180.95 to $187.42 as analysts factor in the company's efforts to improve refining operations, its progress toward a $4.5b Midstream EBITDA goal, and expectations for supportive refining and chemical margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has centered on refining execution, Midstream growth targets, and how the current margin setup could influence earnings and valuation.Narrative Update • Apr 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Western Gateway Midstream Expansion
Analysts have nudged the Phillips 66 fair value estimate higher by about $2 to roughly $181 per share. This reflects updated price targets that take into account refined oil price assumptions, recent conversations with management, and refreshed earnings models across multiple research firms.
New Narrative • Apr 20
Heavy Crude Exposure And Cost Targets Will Limit Long Term Earnings Potential
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is a diversified energy company involved in refining, midstream logistics, chemicals, marketing and renewable fuels. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Apr 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Delivery And Venezuela Crude Shift
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $165.45 to $179.10, citing a series of higher Street price targets and updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 has been active, with a cluster of price target revisions and refreshed models across large banks and sector specialists.
New Narrative • Apr 02
Midstream Expansion And Heavy Crude Optionality Will Define This Refining Leader’s Next Chapter
Catalysts About Phillips 66 Phillips 66 is an integrated energy company with operations in refining, midstream, chemicals and marketing across North America and Europe. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narrative Update • Mar 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Execution And Venezuela Crude Realignment
Analysts have lifted the Phillips 66 fair value estimate from $160.15 to $165.45. The revision reflects a series of higher price targets that cite updated oil price assumptions, discussions with management on midstream growth, and refreshed models following recent commodity and geopolitical developments.Narrative Update • Mar 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Projects And Venezuela Crude Shift
Our fair value estimate for Phillips 66 has moved modestly higher to $160.15 from $157.55, as analysts update models and price targets, including several recent increases toward the $158 level. They cite midstream growth expectations and refreshed assumptions following the latest Q4 updates and management commentary.Narrative Update • Feb 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Midstream Expansion And Venezuela Crude Sourcing Shift
Our Phillips 66 fair value estimate edges up by about $2 to $157.55 as analysts lift price targets toward $158, pointing to updated models after recent results and a constructive view on midstream growth prospects for FY25 and FY26. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Phillips 66 is clustered around updated models and revised price targets, with most activity tied to Q4 reporting and views on midstream fundamentals heading into FY25 and FY26.Analysis Article • Feb 11
Concerns Surrounding Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Performance
Following the solid earnings report from Phillips 66 ( NYSE:PSX ), the market responded by bidding up the stock price...Narrative Update • Feb 10
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Pipeline Expansion And Refiner Sentiment Reset
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Phillips 66 higher to $155.70 from $151.45, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a slightly revised P/E outlook informed by a recent wave of price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Phillips 66 shows a mix of optimism and caution, with several firms revising price targets and updating their views ahead of upcoming quarters.Narrative Update • Jan 26
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refiner Sentiment Reset
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has shifted to US$151.45 from about US$149.30 as analysts incorporate updated commodity assumptions, modestly softer revenue and margin expectations, and slightly higher future P/E multiples into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Phillips 66 point to a mix of optimism around execution and margins, alongside fresh caution on sector risks and valuation after a strong share price move.Narrative Update • Jan 12
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Cash Returns And Refining Margin Support
Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to their Phillips 66 fair value estimate, lifting it by about $0.45, as they weigh slightly softer revenue expectations against a small improvement in projected profit margin, a lower discount rate, and a marginally reduced future P/E multiple, all in the context of mixed recent price target changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on Phillips 66 reflects a mix of optimism around cash returns and refining fundamentals, balanced against concerns about sector sentiment and crude price risks.Narrative Update • Dec 23
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Robust Capital Returns Amid Refining Margin Support
Analysts have nudged their blended price target on Phillips 66 slightly lower to approximately $149 from about $149.35, reflecting a modestly higher discount rate and softer long term revenue expectations. This is partially offset by slightly improved profit margin and future earnings multiple assumptions informed by recent target increases and ratings changes across the Street.Narrative Update • Dec 09
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Resilient Margins And Capital Returns Balancing Risks
Phillips 66's fair value estimate has edged up by about $2 to $149.35, as analysts factor in a wave of higher price targets across the Street. This shift is supported by expectations for resilient refining margins, supply tightness, and improved profitability, despite more cautious revenue growth assumptions.Narrative Update • Nov 25
PSX: Future Cash Flows Will Reflect Shifting Refining and Crude Trends Ahead
The analyst price target for Phillips 66 has edged higher from $146.10 to $147.65, as analysts cite sustained refining profitability, an improving revenue growth outlook, and supportive trends in crude markets despite ongoing margin debates. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides a comprehensive view of how analysts assess Phillips 66's near- and medium-term prospects.Narrative Update • Nov 03
PSX: Rising Capital Returns And Refining Margins Will Support Sector Resilience Ahead
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has risen modestly to $146.10, reflecting analyst expectations for firmer profit margins and continued sector resilience as energy market dynamics evolve. Analyst Commentary Recent street research provides insight into the factors driving both optimism and caution among analysts covering Phillips 66.Narrative Update • Oct 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Phillips 66’s analyst price target has increased from $141.58 to $145.20, as analysts cite resilient refining margins and ongoing industry optimism despite softer demand indicators and modest growth expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst commentary on Phillips 66 reflects both confidence in the company’s positioning and ongoing caution regarding sector dynamics.Narrative Update • Oct 05
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have raised their price target for Phillips 66 by $1.74 to $141.58, citing stronger-than-expected refining margins and improved outlooks for profit and revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent street research reveals a mix of optimism and caution among analysts evaluating Phillips 66.Narrative Update • Sep 20
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Consensus price targets for Phillips 66 have increased to $139.84, reflecting analyst confidence in persistent refining margin strength, strong recent results, and upside from chemicals, while near-term risks from potential activist exits and sector pullbacks are noted. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite persistent strength in refining margins, with global product markets remaining relatively tight and distillate tightness expected to continue into winter, supporting a higher margin risk well into 2026.Narrative Update • Aug 27
NGL, Midstream And Refining Upgrades Will Shape Future Success
Analysts have slightly lowered Phillips 66’s price target to $136.00, reflecting near-term caution due to potential post-proxy battle selling pressure and high Q2 expectations, despite an improved medium-term refining outlook and a strong balance sheet. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite positive earnings revisions expected in the second half of the year, supported by distillate strength and tightening global product supply/demand balances forecasted for 2026 and 2027.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Might Be Having Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively
NYSE:PSX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Phillips 66's Fair Values from the Community and select yours There...Stability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: PSX's dividends per share have been stable in the past 10 years.
Growing Dividend: PSX's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Phillips 66 Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (PSX) | 3.0% |
| Market Bottom 25% (US) | 1.4% |
| Market Top 25% (US) | 4.1% |
| Industry Average (Oil and Gas) | 3.5% |
| Analyst forecast (PSX) (up to 3 years) | 3.1% |
Notable Dividend: PSX's dividend (2.96%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.36%).
High Dividend: PSX's dividend (2.96%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.12%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonably low payout ratio (47.9%), PSX's dividend payments are well covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (1711.6%), PSX's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 04:46 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/26 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Phillips 66 is covered by 30 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| William Selesky | Argus Research Company |
| Theresa Chen | Barclays |
| Phillip Jungwirth | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |