Phillips 66

NYSE:PSX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$47.8b

Phillips 66 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Phillips 66's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 15.3% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 18.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 16.5% in 3 years.

Key information

15.3%

Earnings growth rate

18.2%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.3%
Revenue growth rate-5.2%
Future return on equity16.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated17 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Phillips 66: Refiners Are 'Deer In The Headlights' Of Canadian Import Tariffs

Dec 07

Phillips 66: 3.4% Yield, Consistent Dividend Growth, Cheap

Oct 24

Phillips 66 Is Expanding Past Its Refining Roots

Oct 18

Are Investors Undervaluing Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) By 44%?

Oct 17
Are Investors Undervaluing Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) By 44%?

These 4 Measures Indicate That Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Is Using Debt Extensively

Sep 16
These 4 Measures Indicate That Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Is Using Debt Extensively

The Value Of Phillips 66's Midstream Assets Shine Bright In 2024

Aug 01

Investors Aren't Buying Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Earnings

Jul 26
Investors Aren't Buying Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Earnings

Phillips 66: Sell-Off Creates Opportunity, Given Likely Q2 Acceleration (Rating Upgrade)

Jul 12

Returns On Capital At Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Have Hit The Brakes

Jul 11
Returns On Capital At Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Have Hit The Brakes

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jun 06
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

We Think Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

May 22
We Think Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Phillips 66: Turnaround Still Very Much A Work In Progress

Apr 29

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Low P/E

Apr 15
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Low P/E

Phillips 66: Despite A Dividend Hike, Upside May Be Limited (Rating Downgrade)

Apr 04

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Mar 30
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

Phillips 66 Still Has Fuel To Move Higher

Mar 06

The Turnaround Star - Why I See Over 40% Upside For Phillips 66

Feb 12

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Will Pay A Dividend Of $1.05

Feb 11
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Will Pay A Dividend Of $1.05

Phillips 66: Analyzing Activist Elliot Management's $200 Price Target

Jan 24

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX)

Jan 17
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX)

Phillips 66 Has A Lot More In Store For 2024

Jan 10

Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Jan 03
Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Phillips 66's Portfolio Strength Will Continue

Dec 25

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Dec 21
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

60% Gains Plus Dividends With Phillips 66 If Elliott Is Right

Dec 05

3.6% Yield And Undervalued -  Phillips 66 Is A Top-Tier Income Play

Nov 20

Phillips 66: A Diversified Way To Benefit From A Strong Refining Environment

Nov 04

Phillips 66 Benefiting From Historically High Distillate Yields

Oct 19

Phillips 66: Crack Spread Decline Lowers EPS Estimate By Over Two-Thirds (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 04

Phillips 66: As Good As It Gets

Sep 28

Phillips 66 Vs. Valero Energy: One Is A Buy, And One Is Not

Sep 04

Phillips 66 - What To Make Of Its 4% Yield

Aug 25

Phillips 66: Maintain Buy Recommendation Following Solid Q2 Results

Aug 08

Phillips 66: Q2 Results To Show, Once Again, Weak Chemicals Margin

Jul 24

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PSX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026138,1745,6594,9686,8487
12/31/2025141,0044,1384,4466,2758
12/31/2024145,8453,0433,3204,6279
9/30/2024147,7383,3582,9335,183N/A
6/30/2024151,8535,1104,2526,736N/A
3/31/2024148,8145,7922,9265,594N/A
12/31/2023147,3997,0044,6117,029N/A
9/30/2023149,4087,6297,3559,589N/A
6/30/2023154,72010,9227,67110,048N/A
3/31/2023168,20712,3928,67410,876N/A
12/31/2022169,99011,0148,61910,813N/A
9/30/2022162,31510,4035,7857,863N/A
6/30/2022147,6035,4165,0276,922N/A
3/31/2022126,0282,5434,9836,882N/A
12/31/2021111,4761,3064,1576,017N/A
9/30/202195,242-5063,0874,856N/A
6/30/202180,948-1,7081,3753,144N/A
3/31/202164,881-2,142-1632,165N/A
12/31/202064,129-3,983-8092,111N/A
9/30/202076,863-2,707-5263,166N/A
6/30/202088,148-1,1963304,337N/A
3/31/2020105,0833691,8045,503N/A
12/31/2019107,2933,0709354,808N/A
9/30/2019107,3304,5733,6647,253N/A
6/30/2019109,8845,3542,6726,173N/A
3/31/2019110,9945,2703,1996,607N/A
12/31/2018111,4925,5894,9347,573N/A
9/30/2018108,7196,5473,1835,365N/A
6/30/2018101,1825,878N/A5,184N/A
3/31/201893,0375,088N/A4,685N/A
12/31/201789,3005,100N/A3,648N/A
9/30/201783,1772,066N/A2,384N/A
6/30/201779,2091,753N/A2,866N/A
3/31/201776,7251,699N/A2,156N/A
12/31/201670,8981,549N/A2,963N/A
9/30/201669,1432,036N/A3,793N/A
6/30/201673,1393,103N/A4,347N/A
3/31/201679,8373,620N/A4,619N/A
12/31/201585,2284,221N/A5,713N/A
9/30/201598,0554,717N/A5,088N/A
6/30/2015112,4124,319N/A4,080N/A
3/31/2015129,1694,169N/A3,483N/A
12/31/2014146,5144,049N/A3,529N/A
9/30/2014154,6403,711N/A3,554N/A
6/30/2014158,5993,052N/A5,074N/A
3/31/2014156,5803,134N/A5,212N/A
12/31/2013157,7303,660N/A6,027N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PSX's forecast earnings growth (15.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: PSX's earnings (15.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (15.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PSX's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: PSX's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PSX's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PSX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (16.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 22:41
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Phillips 66 is covered by 39 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Theresa ChenBarclays