Stock Analysis

Here's Why PBF Energy (NYSE:PBF) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NYSE:PBF
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, PBF Energy Inc. (NYSE:PBF) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for PBF Energy

What Is PBF Energy's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that PBF Energy had debt of US$1.25b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from US$1.96b over a year. However, it does have US$1.78b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$537.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PBF Debt to Equity History April 28th 2024

How Healthy Is PBF Energy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that PBF Energy had liabilities of US$4.22b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.54b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$1.78b as well as receivables valued at US$1.33b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$4.64b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$6.96b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on PBF Energy's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, PBF Energy boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that PBF Energy's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 52% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PBF Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. PBF Energy may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent two years, PBF Energy recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

Although PBF Energy's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$537.6m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$679m, being 77% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with PBF Energy's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for PBF Energy (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.