Stock Analysis

Is Nabors Industries (NYSE:NBR) A Risky Investment?

NYSE:NBR
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Nabors Industries Ltd. (NYSE:NBR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nabors Industries

How Much Debt Does Nabors Industries Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2021 Nabors Industries had debt of US$3.26b, up from US$2.97b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$991.5m, its net debt is less, at about US$2.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:NBR Debt to Equity History March 26th 2022

How Strong Is Nabors Industries' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Nabors Industries had liabilities of US$525.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$3.61b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$991.5m in cash and US$312.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.83b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$1.37b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Nabors Industries would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Nabors Industries's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Nabors Industries made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$2.0b, which is a fall of 5.5%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Nabors Industries produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$211m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of US$582m. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Nabors Industries .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nabors Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.