Stock Analysis

Institutional investors are Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's US$2.6b market cap gain

NYSE:MPC
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Significantly high institutional ownership implies Marathon Petroleum's stock price is sensitive to their trading actions
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 48% ownership
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

If you want to know who really controls Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 76% to be precise, is institutions. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Last week’s 4.5% gain means that institutional investors were on the positive end of the spectrum even as the company has shown strong longer-term trends. The one-year return on investment is currently 34% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Marathon Petroleum, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Marathon Petroleum

ownership-breakdown
NYSE:MPC Ownership Breakdown July 28th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Marathon Petroleum?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Marathon Petroleum already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Marathon Petroleum's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:MPC Earnings and Revenue Growth July 28th 2024

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Marathon Petroleum is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc., with ownership of 10.0%. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 8.5% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 6.8% by the third-largest shareholder.

Our studies suggest that the top 25 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Marathon Petroleum

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Marathon Petroleum Corporation in their own names. As it is a large company, we'd only expect insiders to own a small percentage of it. But it's worth noting that they own US$111m worth of shares. In this sort of situation, it can be more interesting to see if those insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 24% stake in Marathon Petroleum. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Marathon Petroleum better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Marathon Petroleum (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:MPC

Marathon Petroleum

Operates as an integrated downstream energy company primarily in the United States.

Undervalued established dividend payer.

Community Narratives

Leading the Game with Growth, Innovation, and Exceptional Returns
Fair Value SEK 300.00|50.353% undervalued
Investingwilly
Investingwilly
Community Contributor
Why ASML Dominates the Chip Market
Fair Value €864.91|25.241000000000003% undervalued
yiannisz
yiannisz
Community Contributor
Global Payments will reach new heights with a 34% upside potential
Fair Value US$142.00|22.268% undervalued
Maxell
Maxell
Community Contributor