Marathon Petroleum Corporation

NYSE:MPC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$42.3b

Marathon Petroleum Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Marathon Petroleum's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 3.3% and 4.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 4.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-4.5%

Earnings growth rate

4.3%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.3%
Revenue growth rate-3.3%
Future return on equity19.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated19 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Just Recorded A 46% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Nov 07
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Just Recorded A 46% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Analysts Are Updating Their Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

May 02
Analysts Are Updating Their Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

Recent updates

Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Dec 13
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Marathon Petroleum Corporation Just Recorded A 46% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Nov 07
Marathon Petroleum Corporation Just Recorded A 46% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Marathon Petroleum: Shares Are Attractive Despite Muted Q3 Results

Nov 06

Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.91

Nov 03
Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.91

Framing Marathon Petroleum Financials With Unexpected Weak Spreads (Knees)

Oct 20

Is Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Using Too Much Debt?

Oct 19
Is Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Using Too Much Debt?

An Intrinsic Calculation For Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Suggests It's 47% Undervalued

Oct 01
An Intrinsic Calculation For Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Suggests It's 47% Undervalued

Marathon Petroleum: At An Inflection Point, Downgraded To Hold

Sep 26

Marathon Petroleum Corporation: A Solid Oil Refiner Despite Sector Weakness

Sep 16

Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Aug 31
Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Shares Lagging The Market But So Is The Business

Newsflash: Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts

Aug 07
Newsflash: Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Revenue Forecasts

Marathon Petroleum: Recent Pullback Creates Opportunity Given Share Repurchases (Upgrade)

Jul 10

Is There An Opportunity With Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) 22% Undervaluation?

Jun 21
Is There An Opportunity With Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) 22% Undervaluation?

These 4 Measures Indicate That Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

May 22
These 4 Measures Indicate That Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Marathon Petroleum: The Buyback King Of The Energy Sector Continues To Shine

May 02

Analysts Are Updating Their Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

May 02
Analysts Are Updating Their Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results

Marathon Petroleum: Still Has Gas In The Tank After 100% Returns

Apr 08

Marathon: Share Repurchases Continue To Generate Value (Downgrade)

Mar 15

22% Return Per Year Since 2012 - How Unstoppable Is Marathon Petroleum?

Feb 20

Does Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 19
Does Marathon Petroleum (NYSE:MPC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Calculating The Fair Value Of Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC)

Jan 21
Calculating The Fair Value Of Marathon Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:MPC)

Marathon Petroleum's Comfortable Market Position Suggests A Buy On Weakness

Jan 19

Earnings Working Against Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Share Price

Jan 03
Earnings Working Against Marathon Petroleum Corporation's (NYSE:MPC) Share Price

Marathon Petroleum Still A Buy For The Long Haul

Jan 02

Marathon Petroleum: In It For The Long Run

Dec 19

Marathon Petroleum: Sum Of The Parts Upside Remains

Nov 25

Marathon Petroleum Is A Buyback Monster

Nov 09

Marathon Petroleum: Gasoline Crack Spread Plunges, 2024 Earnings Outlook In Question

Oct 19

Marathon Petroleum: Oil Price Shock Spells Trouble For Refining Margins (Rating Downgrade)

Oct 10

Marathon Petroleum: An Impressive Ascension, But It May Not Last Forever

Sep 19

Marathon Petroleum: Elevated Crack Spreads And Share Repurchases Make This Attractive

Sep 06

Marathon Petroleum: Investing In The Fossil Fuel 'Supernova'

Aug 09

Marathon Petroleum Q2 Earnings: Why This Stock Is An Attractive Investment

Aug 01

Marathon Petroleum: Potential Positive Returns With Tight Markets

Jul 06

What To Make Of Marathon Petroleum's Dividend

Jun 21

The Dividend Investor's Oil Playbook - Part 2

Jun 01

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MPC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026136,3754,0166,3508,9449
12/31/2025130,9913,0075,4967,88611
12/31/2024139,2843,3405,1717,91711
9/30/2024142,6704,5215,3267,581N/A
6/30/2024148,7727,1778,82610,850N/A
3/31/2024147,3947,8889,57411,592N/A
12/31/2023149,3489,67212,22714,117N/A
9/30/2023152,72911,47015,29217,376N/A
6/30/2023157,47712,66612,57214,937N/A
3/31/2023174,91716,31115,52317,905N/A
12/31/2022178,23614,43613,94116,361N/A
9/30/2022173,75611,96213,47815,653N/A
6/30/2022160,2418,18110,14011,991N/A
3/31/2022135,9232,6094,7646,419N/A
12/31/2021120,4511,2882,8964,360N/A
9/30/2021103,0334755742,014N/A
6/30/202187,972-1,4752,7864,483N/A
3/31/202170,457-1,9561,5013,641N/A
12/31/202069,896-11,032-3682,419N/A
9/30/202079,918-10,734-1793,500N/A
6/30/202090,070-8,6368794,966N/A
3/31/2020105,214-7,7152,5307,050N/A
12/31/2019111,2751,8304,6319,441N/A
9/30/2019115,6462,5235,0359,759N/A
6/30/2019111,0992,4193,6238,154N/A
3/31/2019106,0982,7353,8547,918N/A
12/31/201886,2842,1062,9796,158N/A
9/30/201885,4493,8433,0576,176N/A
6/30/201881,7164,008N/A6,900N/A
3/31/201877,6183,437N/A5,367N/A
12/31/201775,0533,430N/A6,612N/A
9/30/201769,2511,642N/A4,860N/A
6/30/201764,702885N/A3,359N/A
3/31/201761,3851,202N/A4,773N/A
12/31/201663,5171,173N/A4,017N/A
9/30/201654,3721,132N/A3,810N/A
6/30/201656,3641,935N/A4,474N/A
3/31/201660,0401,959N/A3,201N/A
12/31/201564,4712,848N/A4,073N/A
9/30/201571,1113,459N/A3,641N/A
6/30/201578,1943,182N/A3,650N/A
3/31/201584,8483,211N/A3,534N/A
12/31/201491,2542,520N/A3,110N/A
9/30/201494,2302,347N/A4,077N/A
6/30/201495,0351,844N/A3,406N/A
3/31/201493,8571,583N/A2,092N/A
12/31/201393,9492,108N/A3,405N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MPC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: MPC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-4.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MPC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MPC's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MPC's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.3% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MPC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 13:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Marathon Petroleum Corporation is covered by 36 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Yim ChengBarclays
Theresa ChenBarclays
Phillip JungwirthBMO Capital Markets Equity Research