Stock Analysis

Benign Growth For Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE:MGY) Underpins Its Share Price

NYSE:MGY
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (NYSE:MGY) as an attractive investment with its 12.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

Magnolia Oil & Gas could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Magnolia Oil & Gas

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:MGY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2025
Keen to find out how analysts think Magnolia Oil & Gas' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Magnolia Oil & Gas' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.0% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 19% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 2.9% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Magnolia Oil & Gas' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Magnolia Oil & Gas' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Magnolia Oil & Gas with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:MGY

Magnolia Oil & Gas

An independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids reserves in the United States.

Adequate balance sheet and fair value.