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Here's What's Concerning About Kodiak Gas Services' (NYSE:KGS) Returns On Capital
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Kodiak Gas Services (NYSE:KGS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Kodiak Gas Services:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.081 = US$249m ÷ (US$3.3b - US$238m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).
So, Kodiak Gas Services has an ROCE of 8.1%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Energy Services industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Kodiak Gas Services
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Kodiak Gas Services compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Kodiak Gas Services .
The Trend Of ROCE
In terms of Kodiak Gas Services' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 10% over the last three years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.
On a related note, Kodiak Gas Services has decreased its current liabilities to 7.2% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that Kodiak Gas Services is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. Furthermore the stock has climbed 80% over the last year, it would appear that investors are upbeat about the future. So should these growth trends continue, we'd be optimistic on the stock going forward.
If you'd like to know about the risks facing Kodiak Gas Services, we've discovered 2 warning signs that you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kodiak Gas Services might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:KGS
Kodiak Gas Services
Operates contract compression infrastructure for customers in the oil and gas industry in the United States.
Moderate with reasonable growth potential.