Stock Analysis

Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (NYSE:HP) Second-Quarter Results: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year

NYSE:HP
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As you might know, Helmerich & Payne, Inc. (NYSE:HP) recently reported its second-quarter numbers. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of US$688m and statutory earnings per share of US$0.84 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Helmerich & Payne is executing in line with expectations. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Helmerich & Payne

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NYSE:HP Earnings and Revenue Growth April 26th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Helmerich & Payne's 15 analysts are forecasting 2024 revenues to be US$2.76b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to increase 3.1% to US$3.63. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$2.76b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$3.57 in 2024. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$46.18. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Helmerich & Payne at US$53.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$38.00. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Helmerich & Payne's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 0.9% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 1.4% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.8% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Helmerich & Payne.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, the analysts also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Although our data does suggest that Helmerich & Payne's revenue is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$46.18, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Helmerich & Payne going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Helmerich & Payne , and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Helmerich & Payne is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.