Stock Analysis

There Is A Reason Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.'s (NYSE:GRNT) Price Is Undemanding

NYSE:GRNT
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 17x, you may consider Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (NYSE:GRNT) as an attractive investment with its 9.5x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Granite Ridge Resources as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Granite Ridge Resources

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:GRNT Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 10th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Granite Ridge Resources.

How Is Granite Ridge Resources' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Granite Ridge Resources' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 69% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 6.3% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Granite Ridge Resources is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Granite Ridge Resources' P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Granite Ridge Resources' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Granite Ridge Resources (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

You might be able to find a better investment than Granite Ridge Resources. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Granite Ridge Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.