Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By VAALCO Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:EGY) Earnings

NYSE:EGY
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VAALCO Energy, Inc.'s (NYSE:EGY) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 18x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, VAALCO Energy has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for VAALCO Energy

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:EGY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 5th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on VAALCO Energy.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like VAALCO Energy's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 16% last year. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 145% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 28% per annum as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 10% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it odd that VAALCO Energy is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On VAALCO Energy's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of VAALCO Energy's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for VAALCO Energy that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than VAALCO Energy. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.