HF Sinclair Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

HF Sinclair's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.2% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 32.5% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 33.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.2% in 3 years.

Key information

32.5%

Earnings growth rate

33.8%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth9.8%
Revenue growth rate-0.2%
Future return on equity9.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues Yet

Apr 21
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues Yet

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

Mar 27
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

Feb 26
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of $0.50

Is HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Trading At A 38% Discount?

Feb 21
Is HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Trading At A 38% Discount?

Regional Factors Slowing Refiner HF Sinclair

Feb 10
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HF Sinclair Corp: A Nuanced Investment Case

Jan 08HF Sinclair Corporation represents an intricate investment proposition in the ever-shifting dynamics of the energy sector. Against the background of recent underperformance, a combination of factors s

HF Sinclair: The Market Says The Bottom Is In (Rating Upgrade)

Jan 05

We Think HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Dec 14
We Think HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Little Excitement Around HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues

Nov 22
Little Excitement Around HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Revenues

HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Sep 10
HF Sinclair Corporation (NYSE:DINO) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
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Optimizing Operations And Expanding Markets Brighten Prospects, Despite Analysts Predicting A Squeeze On Margins And Earnings

Aug 25 Efforts in refining and renewable segments aim to boost revenue, with a focus on enhanced reliability and efficient feedstock usage.

HF Sinclair: Featured Stock From Our July Safest Dividend Yields Model Portfolio

Aug 23

HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Aug 05
HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

HF Sinclair: Not Cheap Enough To Benefit From A Refining Upturn

Jul 17

HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jul 03
HF Sinclair (NYSE:DINO) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

HF Sinclair: Attractive Cash Flow, Stable Crack Spread

May 29

HF Sinclair Corporation Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

May 11
HF Sinclair Corporation Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For This Year

Is There An Opportunity With HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) 48% Undervaluation?

May 01
Is There An Opportunity With HF Sinclair Corporation's (NYSE:DINO) 48% Undervaluation?

HF Sinclair: This Dinosaur Has No Teeth

Feb 24

HF Sinclair Remains A 'Hold', Despite Its Strong Business Performance

Dec 14

HF Sinclair Appears Fairly Valued Right Now

Oct 04

HF Sinclair: Valuation Case Remains Strong, Positive Momentum Into Earnings (Rating Upgrade)

Jul 30

HF Sinclair: Earnings Set To Taper, Shares Holding Key Support For Now

Feb 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:DINO - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202727,154791N/A1,4535
12/31/202627,7465688101,1869
12/31/202527,5752324378139
12/31/202428,5801756401,110N/A
9/30/202429,7403261,0601,481N/A
6/30/202431,4391,1871,7942,172N/A
3/31/202431,4261,5382,0622,436N/A
12/31/202331,9641,5761,9122,297N/A
9/30/202333,2892,2192,6142,982N/A
6/30/202334,9832,3802,0692,455N/A
3/31/202338,3113,0873,0283,494N/A
12/31/202238,2052,8933,2533,777N/A
9/30/202234,8432,2731,8472,529N/A
6/30/202228,9291,6041,1081,906N/A
3/31/202222,344561-16805N/A
12/31/202118,389551-407407N/A
9/30/202115,667470141806N/A
6/30/202113,802191105639N/A
3/31/202111,287-152-66330N/A
12/31/202011,184-603128458N/A
9/30/202012,665-423217528N/A
6/30/202014,270-159585888N/A
3/31/202016,9902141,2081,522N/A
12/31/201917,4877711,2551,549N/A
9/30/201917,4498521,5391,836N/A
6/30/201917,7959321,5141,796N/A
3/31/201917,4831,0801,1321,437N/A
12/31/201817,7151,0941,2431,554N/A
9/30/201817,3631,471N/A1,296N/A
6/30/201816,3121,400N/A1,206N/A
3/31/201815,2991,113N/A1,325N/A
12/31/201714,251800N/A951N/A
9/30/201713,214335N/A948N/A
6/30/201712,342139N/A770N/A
3/31/201711,597-328N/A561N/A
12/31/201610,536-261N/A607N/A
9/30/201610,524-358N/A521N/A
6/30/201611,263-237N/A720N/A
3/31/201612,250533N/A739N/A
12/31/201513,238738N/A986N/A
9/30/201514,577560N/A856N/A
6/30/201516,309539N/A607N/A
3/31/201517,980355N/A611N/A
12/31/201419,764280N/A759N/A
9/30/201420,308565N/A873N/A
6/30/201420,318472N/A1,139N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DINO's forecast earnings growth (32.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: DINO's earnings (32.5% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DINO's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: DINO's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DINO's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DINO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/28 22:00
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/28 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

HF Sinclair Corporation is covered by 35 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Yim ChengBarclays