Stock Analysis

Aris Water Solutions' (NYSE:ARIS) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

NYSE:ARIS
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Aris Water Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:ARIS) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.14 on 27th of March. This takes the annual payment to 1.8% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

View our latest analysis for Aris Water Solutions

Aris Water Solutions' Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 100% of cash flows. The company might be more focused on returning cash to shareholders, but paying out this much of its cash flow could expose the dividend to being cut in the future.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 108.7%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 25%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
NYSE:ARIS Historic Dividend March 2nd 2025

Aris Water Solutions Is Still Building Its Track Record

The company has maintained a consistent dividend for a few years now, but we would like to see a longer track record before relying on it. The dividend has gone from an annual total of $0.36 in 2022 to the most recent total annual payment of $0.56. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 16% per annum over that time. Aris Water Solutions has been growing its dividend quite rapidly, which is exciting. However, the short payment history makes us question whether this performance will persist across a full market cycle.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. It's encouraging to see that Aris Water Solutions has been growing its earnings per share at 154% a year over the past three years. The company's earnings per share has grown rapidly in recent years, and it has a good balance between reinvesting and paying dividends to shareholders, so we think that Aris Water Solutions could prove to be a strong dividend payer.

Our Thoughts On Aris Water Solutions' Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Aris Water Solutions will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Aris Water Solutions (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.