Green Plains Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 0/6
Green Plains has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 0.7%, while the Oil and Gas industry saw earnings growing at 8.4% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 3.9% per year.
Key information
0.72%
Earnings growth rate
11.24%
EPS growth rate
| Oil and Gas Industry Growth | 33.67% |
| Revenue growth rate | -3.86% |
| Return on equity | -1.88% |
| Net Margin | -0.80% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Seeking Alpha • Jun 05
Green Plains: A Normalizing Growth Outlook
Summary Green Plains is upgraded from Sell to Hold as sector fundamentals improve and ethanol demand rises amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. GPRE benefits from higher margins and increased 45Z tax credit realization, supporting a 13% increase in 2026 EBITDA guidance to $212.5m. Profitability is now more closely linked to production levels, enhancing earnings reliability versus cyclical ethanol pricing. I believe growth prospects remain moderate but the easy money has likely been made. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jun 02
GPRE: Higher US$20 Fair Value Reflects Confidence In Ethanol Policy Support
Analysts have raised the Green Plains price target from $19 to $20, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E. These changes are reflected in recent target increases from firms such as Stephens, Oppenheimer and BMO Capital.
Narrative Update • May 04
GPRE: Policy Tailwinds And Leadership Shifts Will Likely Expose Overvaluation Risk
Analysts have raised their price targets on Green Plains by low single digit dollar amounts. They cite updated expectations for slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly higher profit margins, and a somewhat lower assumed future P/E multiple in their models.Narrative Update • Apr 20
GPRE: New Leadership And Ethanol Policy Support Will Drive Shares Higher
Analysts have lifted the Green Plains price target by $1, citing updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, modestly stronger profit margins, and a somewhat lower forward P/E multiple following recent target increases and upgrades from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of bullish analysts revisiting their models and lifting expectations for Green Plains, with several price target increases and upgrades arriving in quick succession.Narrative Update • Apr 06
GPRE: Leadership Hopes And Policy Tailwinds Will Likely Tighten Execution Risk
Analysts nudged up their average price target on Green Plains by raising individual targets in $1 to $5 steps, reflecting updated views on growth, profitability, and valuation after recent research from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Green Plains has centered on refreshed price targets and rating changes that reflect evolving views on execution, leadership, and growth prospects.Narrative Update • Mar 22
GPRE: New Leadership Execution And Higher Earnings Power Will Drive Shares Toward 19
Analysts have raised the Green Plains price target from $17 to $19, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, growth and margins following a series of recent upgrades and target increases from major firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Green Plains has leaned clearly positive, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets and upgrading their views after reassessing the company’s fair value, discount rate, growth assumptions and margin outlook.
Narrative Update • Mar 08
GPRE: Higher Leadership Hopes Will Test Seasonal Margin And 45Z Headwinds
The analyst price target for Green Plains has increased from $11.56 to $14.00, as analysts cite higher assumed revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, a modestly lower discount rate, and recent upgrades following increased confidence in new leadership. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrades to higher assumed revenue growth, suggesting they see Green Plains as having more room to scale its core business than previously modeled.Narrative Update • Feb 22
GPRE: Elevated Leadership Hopes Will Likely Raise Execution Risk Ahead
Our analyst price target for Green Plains has moved up from $7.00 to $10.00, reflecting updated views from analysts who cite recent target raises at several firms and growing confidence in the company’s leadership and earnings profile. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Green Plains has been active, with several firms updating ratings and price targets in close succession.Narrative Update • Feb 08
GPRE: Higher Earnings Power And P E Repricing Will Drive Shares Toward 17
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Green Plains by $2 to $17, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and the future P/E multiple highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have responded to recent updates by lifting their price targets on Green Plains, including moves of $2 and $5.Narrative Update • Jan 24
GPRE: Seasonal Margin Pressure And 45Z Accounting Will Shape Future Upside
Analysts maintained their fair value estimate for Green Plains at approximately $11.56 per share, noting that the unchanged target reflects recent caution regarding seasonal crush margin pressure and concerns about less conservative 45Z accounting. Analyst Commentary Recent research commentary on Green Plains centers on valuation now sitting close to published targets, seasonal margin pressures and questions around the conservativeness of 45Z accounting in the latest quarter.Analysis Article • Jan 13
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) may be sending bullish signals at the...Narrative Update • Jan 09
GPRE: Carbon Capture Progress Will Shape Future Upside Despite Seasonal Margin Risks
Narrative update on Green Plains The analyst price target for Green Plains has shifted to a range of about $9 to $15. The mix of downgrades and target increases reflects concerns about seasonal crush margin pressure, conservative treatment of 45Z credits, and a cautious earnings setup across agriculture and chemicals.Narrative Update • Dec 23
GPRE: Revenue Visibility And Margin Resilience Will Drive Shares Toward 15
The analyst price target for Green Plains has been raised to $15 from $14 as analysts factor in stronger expected revenue growth, modest margin improvement, and a lower discount rate, despite a mixed near term industry backdrop. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight that the recent price target increase to $15 reflects greater confidence in Green Plains' ability to execute on its growth initiatives despite a challenging macro backdrop.Narrative Update • Dec 09
GPRE: Policy Incentives And Carbon Capture Will Drive Future Upside Potential
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Green Plains to $11.56 per share from $11.56, reflecting a blend of cautious optimism around raised Street targets of up to $15 and lingering concerns over seasonally weaker crush margins and conservative earnings quality. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts highlight Green Plains' upside potential as the company navigates a mixed macro and commodity backdrop.Narrative Update • Nov 25
GPRE: Increased Revenue Assumptions And Policy Momentum Will Drive Market Upside
The consensus analyst price target for Green Plains increased by $1.00, reflecting cautious optimism as analysts cite moderate improvements in future revenue growth and profitability. This comes despite ongoing sector headwinds and mixed recent ratings changes.Narrative Update • Nov 05
GPRE: Revenue Projections and Sector Shifts Will Shape Outlook Amid Policy and Market Headwinds
Analysts have modestly raised their price target for Green Plains, increasing it from $10.44 to $10.56. They cite adjustments to growth forecasts and recent sector research, which reflects both cautious earnings expectations and selective optimism on market opportunities.Narrative Update • Oct 22
Analysts Revise Green Plains Price Target Amid Mixed Sentiment and Industry Developments
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Green Plains, citing improved outlooks and raising expectations from $10.22 to $10.44 per share. This shift is supported by recent upgrades and changing market dynamics.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Extended Tax Credits And Decarbonization Trends Will Boost Low-carbon Ethanol
Analysts have raised their price target for Green Plains from $11 to $14. This change reflects increased confidence in the company’s future performance and updated fair value estimates.Analysis Article • Sep 20
Further Upside For Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 27% Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in...Narrative Update • Aug 29
Extended Tax Credits And Decarbonization Trends Will Boost Low-carbon Ethanol
The increase in Green Plains’ consensus analyst price target reflects higher future earnings expectations, as indicated by the rising future P/E ratio, and a marginally lower discount rate, resulting in a new fair value estimate of $9.67. What's in the News Chris Osowski appointed Chief Executive Officer, succeeding interim executive Michelle Mapes; Executive Committee dissolved.Analysis Article • Aug 20
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Analysts Are More Bearish Than They Used To Be
NasdaqGS:GPRE 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Green Plains's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Narrative Update • Aug 15
Extended Tax Credits And Decarbonization Trends Will Boost Low-carbon Ethanol
With no significant changes in either Net Profit Margin (3.42%) or Future P/E (6.79x), the consensus Analyst Price Target for Green Plains remained steady at $9.12. What's in the News Added to Russell 3000E Value Benchmark Added to Russell Microcap Value Benchmark Index Added to Russell 3000E Value Index Added to Russell Microcap Index Added to Russell 3000E Index Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Green Plains The Consensus Analyst Price Target remained effectively unchanged, at $9.12.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Consensus Forecasts Have Become A Little Darker Since Its Latest Report
Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) just released its latest quarterly report and things are not looking great. It...Analysis Article • Jun 15
Is Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...New Narrative • May 14
Cost Cuts And Ethanol Carbon Initiatives Will Forge Our Future
Strategic cost reduction and asset sales aim to boost net margins through enhanced operational efficiency and market scalability.Analysis Article • May 11
Analyst Estimates: Here's What Brokers Think Of Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) After Its First-Quarter Report
Investors in Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) had a good week, as its shares rose 6.8% to close at US$4.07 following...Analysis Article • Apr 05
Slammed 26% Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last...Analysis Article • Feb 08
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 34%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) shares are down a considerable 34% in the last...Analysis Article • Jan 07
Is Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analysis Article • Oct 15
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Green Plains Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GPRE) Low P/S
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • Sep 04
Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Jun 05
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks
Green Plains Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing investment...Analysis Article • May 08
Does Green Plains (NASDAQ:GPRE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Seeking Alpha • Apr 13
Green Plains: Awaiting The Benefits Of Restructuring
Summary Green Plains is currently restructuring its business to become more carbon-free and increase profitability in the future. It is expanding its product portfolio to include ultra-high protein production, renewable corn oil, and carbon capture systems. The Inflation Reduction Act tax credits may be the main driver of upcoming GPRE enhancements. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Feb 13
Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Analysts Are Cutting Their Estimates: Here's What You Need To Know
Green Plains Inc. ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) just released its latest full-year report and things are not looking great. The...Analysis Article • Jan 30
Potential Upside For Green Plains Inc. (NASDAQ:GPRE) Not Without Risk
Green Plains Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:GPRE ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x may look like a pretty appealing investment...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Green Plains makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,936 | -15 | 93 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 2,092 | -121 | 104 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 2,247 | -188 | 109 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 2,397 | -152 | 108 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 2,463 | -104 | 117 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 2,459 | -82 | 118 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 2,587 | -20 | 125 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 2,821 | -46 | 134 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 3,060 | -74 | 133 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 3,296 | -93 | 133 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 3,497 | -139 | 129 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 3,560 | -235 | 123 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 3,714 | -136 | 120 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 3,663 | -127 | 119 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 3,551 | -98 | 108 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 3,343 | -84 | 105 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 3,055 | -121 | 98 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 2,827 | -66 | 91 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 2,504 | -106 | 96 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,181 | -81 | 90 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,844 | -99 | 87 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,924 | -109 | 85 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 2,161 | -99 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 2,369 | -107 | 81 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 2,611 | -146 | 80 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 2,417 | -168 | 77 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 2,285 | -74 | 85 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,442 | -45 | 90 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 2,377 | -10 | 97 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 2,984 | 4 | 104 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 3,321 | -3 | 110 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 3,434 | 45 | 115 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 3,754 | 41 | 114 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 3,289 | 56 | 108 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 3,607 | 33 | 111 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 3,548 | 7 | 106 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 3,549 | 31 | 104 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 3,411 | 11 | 101 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 3,219 | -12 | 89 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 3,120 | -13 | 84 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 2,976 | -14 | 81 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 2,966 | 7 | 80 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 3,056 | 53 | 79 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 3,147 | 88 | 75 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: GPRE is currently unprofitable.
Growing Profit Margin: GPRE is currently unprofitable.
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: GPRE is unprofitable, but has reduced losses over the past 5 years at a rate of 0.7% per year.
Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare GPRE's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable
Earnings vs Industry: GPRE is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Oil and Gas industry (6%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: GPRE has a negative Return on Equity (-1.88%), as it is currently unprofitable.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/10 18:02 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/10 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Green Plains Inc. is covered by 14 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Andrew Strelzik | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Salvator Tiano | BofA Global Research |
| Eric Stine | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |