Stock Analysis

Gevo (NASDAQ:GEVO investor three-year losses grow to 68% as the stock sheds US$38m this past week

NasdaqCM:GEVO
Source: Shutterstock

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ:GEVO) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 68% drop in the share price over that period. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 32% in the last year. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 12%.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Gevo isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for Gevo

Because Gevo made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

Over three years, Gevo grew revenue at 21% per year. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. In contrast, the share price is down 19% compound, over three years - disappointing by most standards. This could mean hype has come out of the stock because the losses are concerning investors. When we see revenue growth, paired with a falling share price, we can't help wonder if there is an opportunity for those who are willing to dig deeper.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqCM:GEVO Earnings and Revenue Growth December 22nd 2023

Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Gevo had a tough year, with a total loss of 32%, against a market gain of about 26%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Gevo better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Gevo .

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqCM:GEVO

Gevo

Operates as a carbon abatement company.

Flawless balance sheet with high growth potential.

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