UBS Group AG

NYSE:UBS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$134.9b

UBS Group Valuation

Is UBS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Future Cash Flow Value

What is the Fair Price of UBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Ultimate guide to DCF valuation for stock investing

Learn how to determine fair value like the best investors in the world.

Below Future Cash Flow Value: UBS ($43.91) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($35.32)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: UBS is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UBS?

Key metric: As UBS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UBS. This is calculated by dividing UBS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UBS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.4x
EarningsUS$7.77b
Market CapUS$134.88b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UBS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UBS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.5x
SPGI S&P Global
31.5x11.23%US$136.8b
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group
33.8x11.54%US$117.9b
BLK BlackRock
29.5x12.84%US$171.8b
CME CME Group
27.1x1.49%US$107.2b
UBS UBS Group
17.4x17.63%US$104.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (30.4x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UBS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Capital Markets Industry?

20 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASA ASA Gold and Precious Metals
1.9xn/aUS$1.19b
MUDS Mudrick Capital Acquisition Corporation II
3.4xn/aUS$401.64m
CRRC.F Cohn Robbins Holdings
4.3xn/aUS$283.01m
SSSS SuRo Capital
3.3x-116.79%US$218.54m
UBS 17.4xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies68PE020406080100+
20 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the US Capital Markets industry average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UBS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UBS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst UBS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$43.91
US$48.93
+11.42%
17.32%US$70.94US$36.11n/a17
Jan ’27US$46.31
US$44.36
-4.21%
14.89%US$60.91US$35.53n/a16
Dec ’26US$38.48
US$41.93
+8.97%
11.50%US$51.34US$34.64n/a16
Nov ’26US$38.36
US$41.81
+8.99%
11.96%US$51.58US$33.55n/a16
Oct ’26US$40.42
US$41.07
+1.61%
14.54%US$49.62US$26.38n/a16
Sep ’26US$40.52
US$40.08
-1.08%
13.88%US$49.28US$26.20n/a16
Aug ’26US$36.67
US$37.84
+3.19%
13.93%US$45.55US$25.85n/a16
Jul ’26US$33.77
US$37.10
+9.86%
14.42%US$46.63US$26.47n/a16
Jun ’26US$31.89
US$35.57
+11.55%
14.69%US$44.97US$25.52n/a15
May ’26US$30.14
US$35.54
+17.91%
15.30%US$44.60US$25.31n/a16
Apr ’26US$30.35
US$35.57
+17.21%
15.29%US$41.86US$23.76n/a17
Mar ’26US$34.29
US$35.39
+3.20%
17.48%US$49.29US$23.26n/a16
Feb ’26US$35.42
US$33.95
-4.14%
17.68%US$47.22US$23.23US$47.1516
Jan ’26US$30.32
US$32.84
+8.31%
18.02%US$47.65US$23.32US$46.3116
Dec ’25US$32.34
US$33.09
+2.31%
17.13%US$48.72US$23.85US$38.4816
Nov ’25US$31.11
US$33.49
+7.65%
17.73%US$49.28US$24.12US$38.3617
Oct ’25US$30.81
US$34.11
+10.71%
14.83%US$44.13US$24.98US$40.4218
Sep ’25US$30.76
US$33.66
+9.44%
15.66%US$43.77US$24.78US$40.5217
Aug ’25US$29.16
US$32.12
+10.15%
15.00%US$41.50US$23.55US$36.6717
Jul ’25US$29.94
US$31.37
+4.78%
14.46%US$40.57US$23.03US$33.7718
Jun ’25US$31.88
US$31.37
-1.59%
14.46%US$40.57US$23.03US$31.8918
May ’25US$26.19
US$30.82
+17.67%
13.61%US$40.64US$23.07US$30.1418
Apr ’25US$30.48
US$30.92
+1.46%
19.36%US$41.15US$14.68US$30.3518
Mar ’25US$28.95
US$30.57
+5.60%
17.11%US$37.26US$14.90US$34.2919
Feb ’25US$29.51
US$30.86
+4.59%
20.06%US$39.32US$15.22US$35.4219
US$49.21
Fair Value
10.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/02/06 22:52
End of Day Share Price 2026/02/06 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UBS Group AG is covered by 32 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reto AmstaldenBaader Helvea Equity Research
Ignacio Mendez TerrosoBanco Santander
Flora Benhakoun BocahutBarclays