UBS Group AG

NYSE:UBS Stock Report

Market Cap: US$157.9b

UBS Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

UBS Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.2% and 2.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.2% in 3 years.

Key information

12.2%

Earnings growth rate

14.18%

EPS growth rate

Capital Markets earnings growth12.3%
Revenue growth rate2.7%
Future return on equity14.21%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • May 07

UBS Gets Upgraded As It Plows Ahead With Growth After Beating Q1 Earnings

Summary UBS Group gets upgraded after beating Q1 estimates, driven by diversified banking segments and successful Credit Suisse integration. UBS demonstrates robust top-line growth, margin resilience, and strong peer-relative returns, supported by effective cost management and strategic diversification. Balance sheet risk remains controlled, with competitive debt/equity metrics and manageable asset exposures, while dividend growth trends and coverage ratios indicate ongoing income stability. Valuation appears reasonable versus peers, with forward multiples and price/book metrics justified by UBS’s operational execution and integration progress. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 25

UBS Group AG: Regulatory Tightness May Increase

Summary UBS faces tighter potential regulation due to its existential importance for the Swiss economy. UBS's profitability is relatively low compared to competitors, yet it trades at higher multiples than American, Eurozone banks of comparable size. CET1 requirements might be increased materially, potentially limiting dividends and buybacks, and possibly even necessitating an equity raise. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 04

UBS Group: Regulatory Overhang Dampens Q4 Earnings Beat

Summary UBS Group AG exceeded Q4 expectations with $11.6 billion in revenues and $770 million in net profit. UBS plans to achieve a 15% RoCET1 and cut $5.5 billion in costs by 2026, but buyback plans failed to boost sentiment. The Credit Suisse takeover hasn't significantly increased shareholder value, with UBS facing challenges in client retention and regulatory scrutiny. Despite uncertainties, UBS's fair valuation suggests upside potential at $45.5 per share, presenting an attractive risk/reward profile for investors. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Dec 27

UBS Group: No Signs Of The Next Leg Up

Summary The stock has been trading sideways for the entire 2024, mainly due to stagnant Book Value and ROE. Wealth Management, its main unit, represents 60% of UBS's Revenue, but is still lagging in terms of ROE. To achieve its next leg up to $40, UBS needs to either improve ROE and/or grow book value, but there are no indications that this will happen any time soon. No downside risk appears to exist, but no clear opportunity is on the horizon as well. Therefore, the stock continues to be a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 25

UBS: Post-Merger With Credit Suisse Smoothe As Swiss Chocolate, As Share Price Climbs

Summary UBS gets its prior hold rating reaffirmed, as things are relatively smoothe post-merger with Credit Suisse. The share price trades around a 10-year-high, above its 200-day SMA, and overvalued on P/E compared to peers, making it too expensive. Forward-looking growth indicators will come from fee-driven business segments, while a lower interest rate environment could reduce funding costs. The bank is in a competitive sector where it lags behind key peers in the investment banking and wealth advisory space, but also in profit margin. Major cyberattacks and regulatory fines have proven to be costly to this sector in the past, and are expected to continue being key risks. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:UBS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202855,79914,161N/AN/A12
12/31/202754,00113,121N/AN/A12
12/31/202652,53510,653N/AN/A12
3/31/202651,3119,115N/AN/AN/A
12/31/202549,5967,76732,42834,790N/A
9/30/202548,2867,33818,69920,935N/A
6/30/202547,9886,28217,23019,434N/A
3/31/202547,8545,02230,96233,115N/A
12/31/202448,0295,08516,34318,351N/A
9/30/202447,2084,03635,10537,033N/A
6/30/202446,4371,89624,18825,956N/A
3/31/202443,54128,09248,52850,251N/A
12/31/202339,61427,36631,59733,282N/A
9/30/202336,85129,29834,08035,769N/A
6/30/202333,56431,74632,56134,273N/A
3/31/202333,6296,523-8,436-6,820N/A
12/31/202234,1777,63021,69623,339N/A
9/30/202235,3157,32523,46525,133N/A
6/30/202236,2747,87150,00551,711N/A
3/31/202236,1267,76953,70855,519N/A
12/31/202135,5027,457-2411,600N/A
9/30/202134,9257,745-5,127-3,248N/A
6/30/202134,7327,559-39,254-37,335N/A
3/31/202133,3066,786-30,940-29,028N/A
12/31/202032,3866,55735,10436,958N/A
9/30/202031,2925,64319,56621,325N/A
6/30/202029,4434,59924,29225,925N/A
3/31/202029,6064,75818,06119,652N/A
12/31/201928,9274,304N/A-3,512N/A
9/30/201928,9403,897N/A-4,898N/A
6/30/201929,2884,101N/A-7,554N/A
3/31/201929,3374,091N/A6,920N/A
12/31/201830,5034,516N/A19,775N/A
9/30/201830,3291,698N/A-9,997N/A
6/30/201830,4791,458N/A-11,538N/A
3/31/201829,8621,204N/A-26,457N/A
12/31/201729,591969N/A-39,137N/A
9/30/201729,9544,157N/A-8,887N/A
6/30/201730,1264,073N/A715N/A
3/31/201728,9793,760N/A-23,717N/A
1/1/201728,8243,348N/A-51,785N/A
9/30/201628,8653,619N/A-55,774N/A
6/30/201628,8954,879N/A-51,901N/A
3/31/201629,7725,147N/A-7,125N/A
12/31/201530,5666,196N/A21,487N/A
9/30/201531,3126,259N/A8,598N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: UBS's forecast earnings growth (12.2% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: UBS's earnings (12.2% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (18.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: UBS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: UBS's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: UBS's revenue (2.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: UBS's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 21:44
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

UBS Group AG is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Reto AmstaldenBaader Helvea Equity Research
Ignacio Mendez TerrosoBanco Santander
Flora Benhakoun BocahutBarclays