Stock Analysis

Moelis (NYSE:MC) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.60

NYSE:MC
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Moelis & Company (NYSE:MC) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 17th of September to US$0.60. This will take the annual payment from 7.5% to 10% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for Moelis

Moelis Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, Moelis' dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This indicates that a lot of the earnings are being reinvested into the business, with the aim of fueling growth.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to fall by 22.4% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 181%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
NYSE:MC Historic Dividend July 25th 2021

Moelis' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from US$0.80 to US$4.40. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 28% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Moelis has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 24% per annum. The company doesn't have any problems growing, despite returning a lot of capital to shareholders, which is a very nice combination for a dividend stock to have.

Moelis Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The earnings easily cover the company's distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for Moelis (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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