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There's No Escaping Lufax Holding Ltd's (NYSE:LU) Muted Revenues Despite A 33% Share Price Rise
Lufax Holding Ltd (NYSE:LU) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Finance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may still consider Lufax Holding as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Lufax Holding
What Does Lufax Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Lufax Holding has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lufax Holding.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Lufax Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 20% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 12% per annum during the coming three years according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 13% each year, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Lufax Holding's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
What Does Lufax Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Lufax Holding's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It's clear to see that Lufax Holding maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Lufax Holding (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:LU
Lufax Holding
Operates as a financial service empowering institution for small and micro businesses in China.
Proven track record and fair value.