Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Jackson Financial Inc.'s (NYSE:JXN) Share Price

NYSE:JXN
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Jackson Financial Inc. (NYSE:JXN) as a highly attractive investment with its 2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Jackson Financial certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Jackson Financial

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:JXN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 23rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jackson Financial.

How Is Jackson Financial's Growth Trending?

Jackson Financial's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 34%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 41% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the broader market is forecast to expand by 10% per year, which paints a poor picture.

In light of this, it's understandable that Jackson Financial's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Jackson Financial's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Jackson Financial's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Jackson Financial (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jackson Financial, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.