Stock Analysis

FactSet Research Systems Inc. Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

NYSE:FDS
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It's been a good week for FactSet Research Systems Inc. (NYSE:FDS) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 4.5% to US$425. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of US$553m were in line with what the analysts predicted, FactSet Research Systems surprised by delivering a statutory profit of US$4.09 per share, a notable 16% above expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for FactSet Research Systems

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NYSE:FDS Earnings and Revenue Growth June 25th 2024

After the latest results, the 19 analysts covering FactSet Research Systems are now predicting revenues of US$2.32b in 2025. If met, this would reflect a satisfactory 6.4% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to expand 18% to US$15.93. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$2.33b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$15.85 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

It will come as no surprise then, to learn that the consensus price target is largely unchanged at US$437. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values FactSet Research Systems at US$500 per share, while the most bearish prices it at US$355. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that FactSet Research Systems' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 5.1% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.8% over the past five years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 5.4% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while FactSet Research Systems' revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$437, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for FactSet Research Systems going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for FactSet Research Systems that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.