Stock Analysis

Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE:BK) Is Increasing Its Dividend To $0.42

NYSE:BK
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The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation's (NYSE:BK) periodic dividend will be increasing on the 10th of August to $0.42, with investors receiving 14% more than last year's $0.37. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.2%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

View our latest analysis for Bank of New York Mellon

Bank of New York Mellon's Earnings Will Easily Cover The Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable.

Bank of New York Mellon has a long history of paying out dividends, with its current track record at a minimum of 10 years. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Bank of New York Mellon's payout ratio of 43% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

Looking forward, EPS is forecast to rise by 68.1% over the next 3 years. Analysts forecast the future payout ratio could be 33% over the same time horizon, which is a number we think the company can maintain.

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NYSE:BK Historic Dividend July 21st 2023

Bank of New York Mellon Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was $0.52, compared to the most recent full-year payment of $1.48. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 11% per annum over that time. It is good to see that there has been strong dividend growth, and that there haven't been any cuts for a long time.

Bank of New York Mellon May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Let's not jump to conclusions as things might not be as good as they appear on the surface. Over the past five years, it looks as though Bank of New York Mellon's EPS has declined at around 3.2% a year. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. Earnings are forecast to grow over the next 12 months and if that happens we could still be a little bit cautious until it becomes a pattern.

In Summary

Overall, this is a reasonable dividend, and it being raised is an added bonus. The earnings coverage is acceptable for now, but with earnings on the decline we would definitely keep an eye on the payout ratio. The dividend looks okay, but there have been some issues in the past, so we would be a little bit cautious.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Given that earnings are not growing, the dividend does not look nearly so attractive. Very few businesses see earnings consistently shrink year after year in perpetuity though, and so it might be worth seeing what the 12 analysts we track are forecasting for the future. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.