Stock Analysis

Investors Give XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) Shares A 29% Hiding

NasdaqGS:XP
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the XP Inc. (NASDAQ:XP) share price has dived 29% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 54% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, given about half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider XP as an attractive investment with its 9.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, XP has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for XP

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:XP Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 19th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on XP will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For XP?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, XP would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 14% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 15%, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's peculiar that XP's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

The softening of XP's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that XP currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is in line with the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for XP with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.