Victory Capital Holdings Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 2/6
Victory Capital Holdings has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 1.2%, while the Capital Markets industry saw earnings growing at 6.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 8.1% per year. Victory Capital Holdings's return on equity is 16.1%, and it has net margins of 19.9%.
Key information
1.21%
Earnings growth rate
2.48%
EPS growth rate
| Capital Markets Industry Growth | 10.26% |
| Revenue growth rate | 8.10% |
| Return on equity | 16.11% |
| Net Margin | 19.92% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Mar 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jun 23
VCTR: Buybacks And Organic Turnaround Will Support Balanced Future Margin Upside
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings from $74.75 to $86.50, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and profit margins, along with a cluster of recent price target increases on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Victory Capital Holdings points to a mixed but engaged view from the Street, with several firms updating ratings and price targets as they reassess the company’s growth profile, execution risks and valuation.Analysis Article • Jun 18
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) Stock Could Be 16.3% Overvalued After Its Recent Run Up
Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) continues to draw attention after a strong past 3 months, with the stock’s total return over that period at around 28%, prompting closer scrutiny of its fundamentals and valuation. See our latest analysis for Victory Capital Holdings. Even after a 28.0% share price return over the past 90 days and a 35.6% share price return year to date, Victory Capital Holdings still sits at US$86.94. The 42.6% one year total shareholder return hints that momentum has been...
Narrative Update • Jun 05
VCTR: Organic Turnaround And Capital Returns Will Shape A Measured Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings to $95, up from $84, reflecting updated assumptions around a slightly lower discount rate, a higher profit margin, and revised growth expectations. At the same time, recent Street research, including a Neutral rating and $90 price target from Goldman Sachs, highlights more limited upside at the stock's current valuation.
Narrative Update • May 21
VCTR: Rich Multiple And Execution Risks Will Limit Buyback Driven Upside Potential
Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings to $76 from $69, citing a mix of updated price targets and research that highlights steadier growth assumptions, a slightly lower discount rate, and higher projected profit margins, all set against a modestly lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Victory Capital shows a mixed backdrop, with some firms lifting price targets while others trim expectations or reset ratings.Narrative Update • May 01
VCTR: Buybacks And Margin Discipline Will Shape A Balanced Future Outlook
Analysts have made a modest adjustment to Victory Capital Holdings' price targets, with recent moves such as the $1 increase from JPMorgan and the $7 reduction from BofA reflecting updated assumptions for growth, margins and valuation multiples, rather than a wholesale change in the investment thesis. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Victory Capital Holdings has been mixed, but there is a clear cluster of constructive views emerging around the stock.Seeking Alpha • Apr 23
Victory Capital Holdings: Another ~7% EBIT Lift From Synergies Incoming
Summary Victory Capital (VCTR) benefits from the Amundi US acquisition, driving a 33% AUM increase and material synergy potential. Integration synergies are expected to deliver a nearly 7% EBIT lift in the coming year, with $30 million not yet realised but to be realised soon. With full-year Amundi consolidation, synergies, and typical market growth, we anticipate an overall 35% EBIT/NI lift, supporting a forward PE of around 12x. VCTR doesn't trade at a discount though, and we aren't really confident in the state of markets as they ignore ongoing risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Apr 17
VCTR: Buybacks And Margin Discipline Will Support A Higher Future P/E
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Victory Capital Holdings in a tight range, with recent increases of $5 and $6 and smaller trims of $1 and $7, reflecting updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E, while keeping the $84 fair value estimate unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Victory Capital Holdings shows that views are mixed but generally constructive, with several bullish analysts adjusting their models while keeping fair value assessments grounded in updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue, profitability, and future P/E multiples.Narrative Update • Apr 02
VCTR: Buybacks And Expense Discipline Will Support A Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts now place Victory Capital Holdings' fair value at $84, up from $78, reflecting updated assumptions around growth, profitability and valuation that align with recent mixed but generally constructive price target changes on the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Victory Capital highlight a generally constructive tone, with several bullish analysts adjusting price targets while acknowledging areas of debate around valuation and execution.Narrative Update • Mar 19
VCTR: Share Repurchases And Organic Expansion Will Support Future Margin Strength
Analysts have nudged the fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings to $74.75 from $73.67. This reflects updated assumptions around growth, profitability and valuation multiples that fed into recent Street price target changes.Narrative Update • Mar 05
VCTR: Buybacks And UCITS Expansion Will Guide Balanced Execution Driven Return Potential
Analysts have nudged their average price target for Victory Capital Holdings higher by a few dollars into the high $60s, citing updated models that reflect slightly different assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and forward P/E, while keeping their long term fair value view around $69 unchanged. Analyst Commentary Recent research around Victory Capital has been mixed, with some price targets nudged higher and at least one trimmed slightly.Narrative Update • Feb 19
VCTR: Buybacks And UCITS Expansion Will Shape Balanced Future Return Profile
Analysts have raised their average price target for Victory Capital Holdings to $69 from $68, citing updated assumptions around fair value, discount rates, revenue growth, and profit margins reflected in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Victory Capital Holdings includes both upward and downward price target revisions, along with changes in ratings.Narrative Update • Feb 04
VCTR: Expense Discipline And Buybacks Will Support Higher Future Earnings Multiple
Analysts have lowered their price target on Victory Capital Holdings by $1 to $70, citing updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E that reflect a more measured outlook. The fair value estimate remains unchanged at $78.Narrative Update • Jan 21
VCTR: Expense Discipline And Buybacks Will Support Stronger Future Earnings Power
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings to US$78.00 from US$82.00, reflecting a slightly higher discount rate, more cautious revenue growth assumptions, a higher projected profit margin, and a lower future P/E multiple, alongside a recent Street price target move to US$70.00 from US$71.00 following expense-driven Q3 results. Analyst Commentary The most recent Street commentary specific to Victory Capital centers on a modest trimming of fair value and price targets, alongside a Neutral stance.Narrative Update • Jan 07
VCTR: Expense Discipline And Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Future Return Profile
Analysts recently trimmed their price target on Victory Capital Holdings to $70, a $1 reduction. They cited a Q3 expense beat, while keeping their overall stance on the shares unchanged.Narrative Update • Dec 16
VCTR: Future Margin Potential And Deal Execution Will Shape Balanced Return Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Victory Capital Holdings higher to approximately $68 per share from about $61, citing stronger margin potential, higher long term earnings power implied by a lower future P E multiple, and supportive industry research that points to improving organic growth and favorable market driven EPS revisions across traditional asset managers. Analyst Commentary Street research on Victory Capital reflects a more nuanced backdrop than the recent fair value increase might suggest, with bullish long term themes partially offset by pockets of caution around valuation and execution risk.Narrative Update • Dec 02
VCTR: Improving Organic Expansion Will Drive Margin Strength Ahead
Analysts have modestly lowered their price target for Victory Capital Holdings to $70 from $71. This reflects a slightly more cautious outlook following third-quarter results that showed strong expense control, but tempered revenue growth expectations.Narrative Update • Nov 18
VCTR: Earnings Profile Will Strengthen With Improving Expense Discipline
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets for Victory Capital Holdings, with recent updates reflecting a slight decrease from $71 to $70. These updates highlight continued confidence in the company's improving expense management and organic growth prospects.Narrative Update • Nov 03
VCTR: Organic Growth Will Accelerate Following Recent Acquisition And Global Expansion
Victory Capital Holdings’ analyst price target was modestly revised downward from $74.83 to $74.00 as analysts weighed slightly lower profit margin projections alongside improved revenue growth expectations following recent strategic developments. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst coverage on Victory Capital Holdings has provided a nuanced view of the company's outlook, reflecting both positive momentum and areas of lingering caution.Narrative Update • Oct 20
Amundi Partnership And Pioneer Investments Will Expand Global Networks
Victory Capital Holdings' analyst price target has increased modestly, rising by $1 to $84 per share. Analysts cite stronger organic growth prospects, an improved profit margin outlook, and the contributions of recent acquisitions as key drivers for the upward revision.Narrative Update • Aug 27
Amundi Partnership And Pioneer Investments Will Expand Global Networks
Analysts have raised their price target for Victory Capital Holdings to $76.43, reflecting upward revisions to FY25 earnings driven by improved cost management and optimism regarding the company’s expanded product set and growth prospects following the Amundi merger. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite Victory Capital's expanded product set, including larger fixed income, large-cap equity, and global equity offerings following the Amundi merger, as a key driver for improved growth prospects.Seeking Alpha • Apr 17
Victory Capital: Screaming Hold Wherever You Look
Summary Victory Capital is fundamentally sound but faces stagnation in balance sheets, share prices, and short-term catalysts, with macroeconomic factors likely to hurt fees and AUM. Despite strategic acquisitions and partnerships, VCTR's revenue and margins remain rangebound, awaiting a significant growth trigger. Valuation is reasonable but not compelling, with a forward P/E of 9.22 and EV/EBITDA appearing cheaper compared to historical and peer metrics. The recommendation is a "Hold" due to stable dividends and financial soundness, but fresh investors may find limited growth prospects and potential business drops. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 30
Victory Capital: Great Gains, Oddly Slow Growth
Summary Victory Capital Holdings has outperformed peers and the market, but recent revenue and EPS growth have stagnated, raising concerns about future performance. VCTR's diversified investment offerings and strategic acquisitions, including the recent Amundi US deal, have been key growth drivers since going public in 2018. Interest rate fluctuations have impacted VCTR's financials, and with rates likely to remain elevated, the firm may face challenges ahead. Despite impressive past performance, I rate VCTR a hold due to stagnant growth and uncertain interest rate landscape. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 16
Victory Capital: Accelerating Growth By Going Global
Summary Since its IPO, Victory Capital has outperformed the S&P 500 and peers, reflecting effective management, growth through acquisitions, and a growing dividend. Victory's partnership with Amundi Asset Management will expand international distribution, diversify product offerings, and create $100 million in expense synergies. The outlook is highly confident with favorable business climate and potential for further acquisitions. I rate Victory Capital (VCTR) as a Strong Buy due to history of growing earnings, accretive acquisitions, and momentum in expanding globally. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Sep 04
Critical Partnerships And Expanding ETF Offerings Fuel Revenue Growth And Competitive Edge
Strategic partnerships and acquisitions are integral to reducing costs and expanding revenue through inorganic growth and enhanced competitive positioning.Seeking Alpha • Jul 16
Victory Capital: The Real Kicker Is Potential Revenue Synergies
Summary Since the initial management buy-out, Victory Capital Holdings has completed 7 acquisitions which have grown their AUM from $18bn to $170bn. In April VCTR announced that they would acquire Amundi USA. The real kicker here is potential revenue synergies as VCTR and Amundi parent are concurrently entering into a 15-year distribution agreement for US/non-US investment products. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 27
Victory Capital: Dividend Increase, Share Repurchases, Diversified Strategies, And Cheap
Summary Victory Capital offers a diversified asset management model with 118 investment strategies and strong financial results. The company provides technology, distribution, and marketing support to its partners, which is likely to attract more asset managers. The stock repurchase agreement and decrease in share count may lead to increased stock demand. However, there are risks from changes in the regulatory framework or failed investment strategies. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaRevenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Victory Capital Holdings makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 1,475 | 294 | 90 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 1,306 | 270 | 83 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 1,164 | 261 | 75 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 1,029 | 269 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 897 | 295 | 57 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 893 | 289 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 867 | 267 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 851 | 237 | 59 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 836 | 220 | 58 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 821 | 213 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 817 | 210 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 814 | 231 | 51 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 826 | 254 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 855 | 276 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 882 | 293 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 901 | 294 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 907 | 284 | 53 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 890 | 278 | 54 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 862 | 264 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 824 | 245 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 784 | 221 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 775 | 213 | 43 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 794 | 195 | 44 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 820 | 165 | 49 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 729 | 135 | 45 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 612 | 92 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 490 | 69 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 383 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 396 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 413 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 423 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 417 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 414 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 410 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 402 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 344 | -2 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 298 | -6 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 241 | 4 | 22 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: VCTR has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: VCTR's current net profit margins (19.9%) are lower than last year (32.9%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: VCTR's earnings have grown by 1.2% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: VCTR's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.
Earnings vs Industry: VCTR had negative earnings growth (-0.5%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Capital Markets industry average (39.3%).
Return on Equity
High ROE: VCTR's Return on Equity (16.1%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/29 05:54 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/29 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 6 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Jeremy Campbell | Barclays |
| Benjamin Budish | Barclays |
| Craig Siegenthaler | BofA Global Research |