TPG (TPG): Exploring Valuation After Recent Share Price Decline

TPG (TPG) has seen its share price slip nearly 6% over the past week and about 8% over the past month. Investors are paying closer attention to its moves, especially with recent swings in the broader financial sector.

See our latest analysis for TPG.

While the past month has seen share price momentum cool off for TPG, it’s worth zooming out. The 3-year total shareholder return is an impressive 123%, showing that long-term holders have still done well even as short-term sentiment fades.

If you’re interested in seeing what else is performing in today’s markets, this could be a great moment to broaden your perspective and discover fast growing stocks with high insider ownership

With TPG trading around 20% below analyst price targets and recent financial results revealing mixed signals, investors may wonder whether there is real value on the table now, or if the market has already priced in every ounce of future growth.

Most Popular Narrative: 16% Undervalued

TPG’s most followed valuation narrative currently places its fair value around $65.54, a solid premium to the last close of $54.91. This perspective assumes that the market is underestimating positive catalysts that could drive meaningful upside if they materialize.

Rapid fundraising growth, particularly $11.3 billion raised this quarter (up nearly 80% year over year) and strong, above-target commitments for new funds, demonstrates TPG's ability to capture increasing institutional and global capital allocations to alternatives. This supports significant management fee revenue expansion and higher overall revenue visibility.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to know what bold forecasts justify this upside? The valuation hinges on changing profit margins and a dramatic shift in future earnings power. Curious what critical financial inflection points analysts are betting on? Dig into the details that could move TPG’s share price.

Result: Fair Value of $65.54 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent fundraising headwinds and challenges in exiting portfolio companies could quickly shift investor sentiment. This makes recent optimism vulnerable to setbacks.

Find out about the key risks to this TPG narrative.

Build Your Own TPG Narrative

If you see the numbers differently or want to dive deeper, it's quick and easy to assemble your own perspective and test your assumptions, Do it your way.

A great starting point for your TPG research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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