Stock Analysis

If You Like EPS Growth Then Check Out SLM (NASDAQ:SLM) Before It's Too Late

NasdaqGS:SLM
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Warren Buffett has mused, 'If you've been playing poker for half an hour and you still don't know who the patsy is, you're the patsy.' When they buy such story stocks, investors are all too often the patsy.

In contrast to all that, I prefer to spend time on companies like SLM (NASDAQ:SLM), which has not only revenues, but also profits. While profit is not necessarily a social good, it's easy to admire a business that can consistently produce it. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for SLM

SLM's Improving Profits

Over the last three years, SLM has grown earnings per share (EPS) like young bamboo after rain; fast, and from a low base. So I don't think the percent growth rate is particularly meaningful. Thus, it makes sense to focus on more recent growth rates, instead. Like the last firework on New Year's Eve accelerating into the sky, SLM's EPS shot from US$1.46 to US$4.37, over the last year. You don't see 199% year-on-year growth like that, very often. That could be a sign that the business has reached a true inflection point.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). I note that SLM's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. SLM maintained stable EBIT margins over the last year, all while growing revenue 65% to US$2.2b. That's progress.

The chart below shows how the company's bottom and top lines have progressed over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NasdaqGS:SLM Earnings and Revenue History December 6th 2021

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. To that end, right now and today, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for future SLM EPS 100% free.

Are SLM Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

SLM insiders both bought and sold shares over the last twelve months, but they did end up spending US$11k more on stock than they received from selling it. So, on balance, the insider transactions are mildly encouraging. We also note that it was the Independent Chair of the Board, Mary Carter Franke, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying US$105k for shares at about US$15.03 each.

On top of the insider buying, it's good to see that SLM insiders have a valuable investment in the business. To be specific, they have US$34m worth of shares. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Even though that's only about 0.6% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

Does SLM Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

SLM's earnings have taken off like any random crypto-currency did, back in 2017. What's more insiders own a significant stake in the company and have been buying more shares. This quick rundown suggests that the business may be of good quality, and also at an inflection point, so maybe SLM deserves timely attention. Even so, be aware that SLM is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

The good news is that SLM is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.