Stock Analysis

Slammed 26% Remitly Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:RELY) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

NasdaqGS:RELY
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Remitly Global, Inc. (NASDAQ:RELY) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 16% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Remitly Global's P/S ratio of 2.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Diversified Financial industry in the United States is also close to 2.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Remitly Global

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:RELY Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 3rd 2024

What Does Remitly Global's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Remitly Global as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Remitly Global's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Remitly Global's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 40% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 234% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 5.9% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Remitly Global is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Remitly Global's P/S

Remitly Global's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Remitly Global currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Remitly Global has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Remitly Global's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.