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Qifu Technology (NasdaqGS:QFIN): Valuation in Focus After UN Event Highlights Innovation and AI-Driven Progress

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Qfin Holdings (NasdaqGS:QFIN) recently drew market interest after its CEO addressed a United Nations General Assembly event, focusing on responsible digital technology and sustainable development. The company’s progress with advanced AI initiatives also caught investors’ attention.
See our latest analysis for Qfin Holdings.
The recent United Nations spotlight and Qfin Holdings’ ongoing push into advanced AI both seem to have reminded investors of its growth story. However, shares have mostly traded sideways this year, closing at $29.51. Looking at the bigger picture, the one-year total shareholder return is down slightly, but the company’s three- and five-year total returns remain solidly positive. This reflects resilient long-term momentum even as short-term volatility continues.
If Qfin’s tech transformation has you curious about broader opportunities, now is a great chance to explore fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.
With shares trading well below most analyst fair value estimates, the big question is whether Qfin Holdings is actually undervalued right now or if the market has already priced in all its future growth potential.
Most Popular Narrative: 40.1% Undervalued
Qfin Holdings’ most widely followed narrative values the stock at $49.30, a steep premium to the recent close of $29.51. This sets up a particularly bullish view rooted in ongoing technology transformation and business model shifts.
Qfin's ongoing integration of advanced AI and large language models into its risk assessment and user profiling systems is already reducing default rates (e.g., FPD 7-day down 5%, improved model KS scores) and improving operational efficiency. These improvements are expected to protect and gradually enhance net margins in the medium and long term.
Curious how analysts arrive at such a high price target? The narrative leans heavily on ambitious forecasts for profit margins, steady earnings growth, and assumptions about share repurchases. Do not miss the full story behind these bold projections; one key number could change how you see this stock.
Result: Fair Value of $49.30 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, increased regulatory scrutiny and softer consumer credit demand could quickly challenge these bullish expectations and put pressure on Qfin Holdings’ future growth.
Find out about the key risks to this Qfin Holdings narrative.
Build Your Own Qfin Holdings Narrative
If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Qfin Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Qfin Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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About NasdaqGS:QFIN
Qfin Holdings
Qfin Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operate AI- driven credit-tech platform under the Qifu Jietiao brand in the People’s Republic of China.
Very undervalued with outstanding track record and pays a dividend.
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