Open Lending Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
Open Lending is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 70.6% and 9% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 70.4% per annum.
Key information
70.6%
Earnings growth rate
70.40%
EPS growth rate
| Capital Markets earnings growth | 11.5% |
| Revenue growth rate | 9.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 17 Apr 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Analysis Article • Aug 11
Open Lending Corporation Just Beat EPS By 17%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NasdaqGM:LPRO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Open Lending's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Nov 10
Earnings Miss: Open Lending Corporation Missed EPS By 78% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) just released its latest third-quarter report and things are not looking...Analysis Article • Aug 14
Open Lending Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ), given that the company fell...Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 02
LPRO: Reset Expectations And Improving Execution Will Support Upside Following Q4 Shortfall
Narrative Update on Analyst Price Target Analysts have reduced their price target on Open Lending to $3 from $4, citing fourth-quarter results that improved but still fell short of expectations for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are signaling continued confidence in Open Lending even as they trim expectations, with the latest move reducing the price target to $3 from $4 while keeping a positive rating on the shares.Narrative Update • Apr 17
LPRO: Reset Expectations And Improving Execution Will Support 2026 Upside Potential
Narrative Update on Open Lending Analysts reduced their price target on Open Lending to $3 from $4, citing Q4 results that improved but still came in below expectations for revenue and adjusted EBITDA. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts acknowledge that the latest Q4 figures for revenue and adjusted EBITDA came in below their forecasts, yet they still see enough progress in the report to justify a constructive view on the shares.Narrative Update • Apr 03
LPRO: Rate Cuts And Leadership Reset Will Support 2026 Top Pick Status
Analysts trimmed their price targets for Open Lending from $4.00 to a range around $3.00 to $3.50, reflecting recent results that came in below some forecasts while still citing management changes, potential rate cuts and policy support for lending markets as possible drivers of 2026 performance. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are still pointing to several potential positives for Open Lending, even as price targets move into a tighter range around US$3.00 to US$3.50.
Narrative Update • Mar 20
LPRO: Refinancing Opportunity And Management Changes Will Shape 2026 Outlook
The analyst price target for Open Lending has been reduced from $4.00 to a range of $3.00 to $3.50, as analysts weigh Q4 results that came in below some forecasts against expectations for a refinancing-driven opportunity and management changes geared toward 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Open Lending, with some Bearish analysts trimming expectations even as others highlight potential upside tied to refinancing trends and management changes focused on 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 06
LPRO: 2025 Leadership Reset And Rate Cuts Will Drive 2026 Top Pick Status
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target for Open Lending to $3.50, citing refreshed leadership, expectations for 2026 growth efforts, and potential benefits from recent rate cuts and supportive credit market policies as key factors behind the update. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the refreshed $3.50 price target as a vote of confidence in Open Lending’s recent reset, with a particular focus on leadership changes and 2026 execution.Narrative Update • Feb 19
LPRO: 2025 Management Reset And Rate Cuts Will Support 2026 Top Pick Potential
Narrative Update on Open Lending Analysts have lifted their price target on Open Lending to $3.50, citing a refreshed management team, the recent three rate cuts, and potential tailwinds from policy support for housing and credit card markets as key reasons for their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a clear shift toward a more constructive tone on Open Lending, with bullish analysts highlighting both company specific changes and a friendlier rate backdrop as key supports for their thesis.Narrative Update • Feb 05
LPRO: 2025 Management Reset And Rate Cuts Will Drive 2026 Upside
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price expectations for Open Lending, with the updated target now set at US$3.50. This reflects their view that recent management changes, the refinancing opportunity following three rate cuts, and potential indirect support from housing and credit card markets could support the company in 2026.Narrative Update • Jan 21
LPRO: Management Reset And Rate Cuts Will Support 2026 Equity Upside
Narrative Update on Open Lending Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Open Lending toward roughly US$3.50, citing improved confidence in management changes during 2025, a perceived refi opportunity following three recent rate cuts, and potential indirect support from housing and credit card policies as key reasons for the adjustment. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing Open Lending as a setup story for 2026, pointing to the groundwork they see the company laying through 2025.Narrative Update • Jan 06
LPRO: Automated Credit Decisioning Will Support Stronger Forward Equity Upside
Analysts have modestly lifted their price target on Open Lending, citing slightly lower discount rate assumptions and updated expectations for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, which together support a higher implied equity value for the shares. What's in the News Open Lending launched ApexOne Auto, a decisioning platform designed to serve a wider range of auto borrowers using automation, data, and explainable intelligence to support faster and more consistent credit decisions while keeping risk controls in place (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Dec 14
LPRO: Share Repurchases And New Auto Platform Will Drive Stronger Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Open Lending from approximately 7 dollars to 10 dollars, citing expectations for stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a more favorable future earnings multiple, despite a modestly higher discount rate. What's in the News Open Lending completed its previously announced share repurchase program, buying back 1,971,369 shares, or about 1.65% of shares outstanding, for a total of 3.98 million dollars (company buyback filing).Seeking Alpha • Oct 16
Open Lending: Incredibly Cheap And Possible Beneficiary Of Auto ABS Disruption
Summary Open Lending trades at just 1.26x forward EV/Sales, making it one of the cheapest "FinTech" plays relative to its revenue growth potential. After a brutal 2024, analysts forecast a dramatic recovery: revenues could quadruple to $96mn in 2025 and reach $117mn by 2026. The company's capital-light, high-margin model (91% gross margin in prior years) offers optionality as ABS market stress possibly reshapes the auto finance landscape. Disruptions in auto loan securitizations (e.g., Carvana, Tricolor) may push lenders back toward Open Lending’s insured, balance-sheet-friendly model. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalysis Article • Aug 11
Open Lending Corporation Just Beat EPS By 17%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
NasdaqGM:LPRO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Open Lending's Fair Values from the Community and select yours...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Open Lending Corporation's (NASDAQ:LPRO) Share Price Is Still Matching Investor Opinion Despite 27% Slump
The Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a...Analysis Article • Jan 14
Investors Appear Satisfied With Open Lending Corporation's (NASDAQ:LPRO) Prospects
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Capital Markets industry in the United States have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • Nov 13
Things Look Grim For Open Lending Corporation (NASDAQ:LPRO) After Today's Downgrade
The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ), with the analysts...Analysis Article • Nov 10
Earnings Miss: Open Lending Corporation Missed EPS By 78% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) just released its latest third-quarter report and things are not looking...
New Narrative • Sep 18
Innovative Underwriting And Decisive Partnerships Fuel Optimistic Revenue And Profit Growth
Enhanced underwriting and a new scorecard are poised to improve loan performance, reducing delinquencies and defaults, enhancing future revenue and margins.Analysis Article • Aug 14
Open Lending Corporation Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models
The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ), given that the company fell...Analysis Article • Apr 13
Open Lending Corporation's (NASDAQ:LPRO) Stock Retreats 27% But Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow...Analysis Article • Feb 06
There's Reason For Concern Over Open Lending Corporation's (NASDAQ:LPRO) Price
Open Lending Corporation's ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.3x may look like a poor investment...Analysis Article • Nov 09
These Analysts Think Open Lending Corporation's (NASDAQ:LPRO) Sales Are Under Threat
Market forces rained on the parade of Open Lending Corporation ( NASDAQ:LPRO ) shareholders today, when the analysts...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 112 | 27 | N/A | N/A | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 115 | 19 | N/A | N/A | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 101 | 13 | N/A | N/A | 7 |
| 12/31/2025 | 93 | -4 | -4 | -3 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 17 | -150 | -14 | -12 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 16 | -141 | 2 | 5 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 18 | -139 | -1 | 3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 24 | -135 | 14 | 18 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 96 | 5 | 34 | 38 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 98 | 6 | 44 | 47 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 110 | 15 | 62 | 64 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 117 | 22 | 80 | 83 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 129 | 23 | 87 | 88 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 154 | 44 | 98 | 99 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 168 | 56 | 104 | 105 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 180 | 67 | 107 | 107 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 204 | 99 | 111 | 112 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 213 | 104 | 114 | 116 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 222 | 156 | 106 | 108 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 216 | 146 | 93 | 95 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 204 | 133 | 75 | 77 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 175 | 33 | 44 | 46 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 135 | -93 | 35 | 36 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 109 | -91 | 23 | 25 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 95 | -151 | 28 | 29 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 88 | -127 | 36 | 37 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 91 | -84 | 40 | 40 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 93 | -112 | 42 | 42 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 52 | -44 | N/A | 29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 32 | -13 | N/A | 13 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: LPRO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.5%).
Earnings vs Market: LPRO is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: LPRO is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: LPRO's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: LPRO's revenue (9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if LPRO's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 05:00 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Open Lending Corporation is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Randy Binner | B. Riley Securities, Inc. |
| Vincent Caintic | BTIG |
| Joseph Vafi | Canaccord Genuity |