Stock Analysis

CaliberCos Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CWD) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

NasdaqCM:CWD
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CaliberCos Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CWD) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Capital Markets industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.4x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for CaliberCos

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:CWD Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 21st 2024

What Does CaliberCos' Recent Performance Look Like?

CaliberCos could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CaliberCos will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For CaliberCos?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CaliberCos would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 131% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 66% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.2% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that CaliberCos' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does CaliberCos' P/S Mean For Investors?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It's clear to see that CaliberCos maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, CaliberCos' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for CaliberCos that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.