Stock Analysis

What You Can Learn From Affirm Holdings, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AFRM) P/S

NasdaqGS:AFRM
Source: Shutterstock

When close to half the companies in the Diversified Financial industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider Affirm Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:AFRM) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 4.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for Affirm Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:AFRM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 18th 2024

How Affirm Holdings Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Affirm Holdings has been doing relatively well. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Affirm Holdings.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Affirm Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 40% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 177% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.8% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Affirm Holdings' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Affirm Holdings' P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Affirm Holdings maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Diversified Financial industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Having said that, be aware Affirm Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.