Haidilao International Holding Ltd.

OTCPK:HDAL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

Haidilao International Holding Valuation

Is HDAL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HDAL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HDAL.F ($2.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HDAL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HDAL.F?

Key metric: As HDAL.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HDAL.F. This is calculated by dividing HDAL.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HDAL.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19x
EarningsCN¥4.28b
Market CapCN¥81.21b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HDAL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HDAL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.5x
DPZ Domino's Pizza
25.4x5.9%US$14.8b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
30.8x12.6%US$12.1b
ARMK Aramark
37.5x20.1%US$9.9b
YUMC Yum China Holdings
20.4x8.7%US$18.6b
HDAL.F Haidilao International Holding
19x9.8%US$86.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HDAL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the peer average (28.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HDAL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
HDAL.F 19.0xIndustry Avg. 22.9xNo. of Companies17PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HDAL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (23.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HDAL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HDAL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HDAL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HDAL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.20
US$2.17
-1.3%
17.7%US$3.25US$1.55n/a26
Dec ’25n/a
US$2.19
0%
17.8%US$3.28US$1.57n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
US$2.21
0%
17.6%US$3.33US$1.59n/a26
Oct ’25US$2.30
US$2.22
-3.4%
20.6%US$3.38US$1.61n/a27
Sep ’25US$1.78
US$2.23
+25.5%
21.9%US$3.42US$1.60n/a27
Aug ’25US$1.61
US$2.56
+59.0%
21.5%US$4.08US$1.77n/a26
Jul ’25US$1.64
US$2.63
+60.4%
18.6%US$4.07US$1.77n/a26
Jun ’25n/a
US$2.65
0%
18.1%US$4.08US$1.77n/a26
May ’25US$2.14
US$2.58
+20.7%
18.1%US$4.08US$1.77n/a27
Apr ’25US$2.21
US$2.71
+22.7%
21.2%US$4.09US$1.78n/a28
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.66
0%
26.8%US$4.02US$1.33n/a28
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.74
0%
25.9%US$4.03US$1.34n/a28
Jan ’25US$1.70
US$3.06
+80.0%
19.5%US$4.07US$1.78n/a28
Dec ’24US$2.09
US$3.13
+49.6%
18.2%US$4.05US$1.78n/a27
Nov ’24US$2.22
US$3.14
+41.3%
15.7%US$3.95US$1.74n/a27
Oct ’24US$2.60
US$3.15
+21.0%
15.4%US$3.95US$1.74US$2.3027
Sep ’24n/a
US$3.11
0%
15.8%US$3.70US$1.75US$1.7828
Aug ’24US$3.00
US$2.91
-3.1%
16.2%US$3.53US$1.75US$1.6127
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.86
0%
13.3%US$3.43US$2.05US$1.6426
Jun ’24US$2.33
US$2.94
+26.3%
13.1%US$3.50US$2.10n/a26
May ’24US$2.30
US$3.05
+32.8%
13.5%US$3.63US$2.17US$2.1424
Apr ’24US$2.41
US$2.85
+18.3%
18.0%US$3.58US$1.78US$2.2124
Mar ’24US$2.78
US$2.75
-1.2%
17.5%US$3.58US$1.79n/a25
Feb ’24US$2.83
US$2.66
-5.9%
18.1%US$3.58US$1.83n/a23
Jan ’24US$3.11
US$2.43
-21.9%
14.2%US$3.33US$1.77US$1.7023
Dec ’23n/a
US$2.35
0%
12.0%US$2.68US$1.72US$2.0923

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/30 06:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/30 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Haidilao International Holding Ltd. is covered by 57 analysts. 32 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lucy YuBofA Global Research
Hiu Ying ChuCCB International Securities Limited
Yunqiao DuCCB International Securities Limited