Haidilao International Holding Ltd.

OTCPK:HDAL.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$11.1b

Haidilao International Holding Valuation

Is HDAL.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HDAL.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HDAL.F ($2.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($2.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HDAL.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HDAL.F?

Key metric: As HDAL.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HDAL.F. This is calculated by dividing HDAL.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HDAL.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.7x
EarningsCN¥4.28b
Market CapCN¥80.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HDAL.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HDAL.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.4x
ARMK Aramark
37.8x27.0%US$9.9b
DPZ Domino's Pizza
26.6x5.9%US$15.2b
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
33.1x12.4%US$12.9b
YUMC Yum China Holdings
20.2x8.8%US$18.0b
HDAL.F Haidilao International Holding
18.7x9.7%US$86.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HDAL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HDAL.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings
3.6xn/aUS$6.01m
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
HDAL.F 18.7xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies13PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HDAL.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (24.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HDAL.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HDAL.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HDAL.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HDAL.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$2.21
0%
17.6%US$3.33US$1.59n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
US$2.21
0%
17.6%US$3.33US$1.59n/a26
Oct ’25US$2.30
US$2.22
-3.4%
20.5%US$3.38US$1.61n/a27
Sep ’25US$1.78
US$2.23
+25.5%
21.9%US$3.42US$1.60n/a27
Aug ’25US$1.61
US$2.56
+59.0%
21.5%US$4.08US$1.77n/a26
Jul ’25US$1.64
US$2.63
+60.4%
18.6%US$4.07US$1.77n/a26
Jun ’25n/a
US$2.65
0%
18.1%US$4.08US$1.77n/a26
May ’25US$2.14
US$2.58
+20.7%
18.1%US$4.08US$1.77n/a27
Apr ’25US$2.21
US$2.71
+22.7%
21.2%US$4.09US$1.78n/a28
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.66
0%
26.8%US$4.02US$1.33n/a28
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.74
0%
25.9%US$4.03US$1.34n/a28
Jan ’25US$1.70
US$3.06
+80.0%
19.5%US$4.07US$1.78n/a28
Dec ’24US$2.09
US$3.13
+49.6%
18.2%US$4.05US$1.78n/a27
Nov ’24US$2.22
US$3.14
+41.3%
15.7%US$3.95US$1.74n/a27
Oct ’24US$2.60
US$3.15
+21.0%
15.4%US$3.95US$1.74US$2.3027
Sep ’24n/a
US$3.11
0%
15.8%US$3.70US$1.75US$1.7828
Aug ’24US$3.00
US$2.91
-3.1%
16.2%US$3.53US$1.75US$1.6127
Jul ’24n/a
US$2.86
0%
13.3%US$3.43US$2.05US$1.6426
Jun ’24US$2.33
US$2.94
+26.3%
13.1%US$3.50US$2.10n/a26
May ’24US$2.30
US$3.05
+32.8%
13.5%US$3.63US$2.17US$2.1424
Apr ’24US$2.41
US$2.85
+18.3%
18.0%US$3.58US$1.78US$2.2124
Mar ’24US$2.78
US$2.75
-1.2%
17.5%US$3.58US$1.79n/a25
Feb ’24US$2.83
US$2.66
-5.9%
18.1%US$3.58US$1.83n/a23
Jan ’24US$3.11
US$2.43
-21.9%
14.2%US$3.33US$1.77US$1.7023
Dec ’23n/a
US$2.35
0%
12.0%US$2.68US$1.72US$2.0923
Nov ’23US$1.62
US$2.27
+39.8%
13.2%US$2.67US$1.53US$2.2223

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

7D

1Y

7D

1Y

7D

1Y