Stock Analysis

Is Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (NYSE:WH) Using Too Much Debt?

NYSE:WH
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:WH) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Wyndham Hotels & Resorts

What Is Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Wyndham Hotels & Resorts had US$2.02b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$63.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$1.95b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:WH Debt to Equity History August 31st 2023

How Strong Is Wyndham Hotels & Resorts' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wyndham Hotels & Resorts had liabilities of US$469.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$2.71b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$63.0m as well as receivables valued at US$261.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.85b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is worth US$6.41b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's debt is 3.4 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 5.7 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Unfortunately, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts saw its EBIT slide 5.5% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 76% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Wyndham Hotels & Resorts was the fact that it seems able to convert EBIT to free cash flow confidently. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For example, its net debt to EBITDA makes us a little nervous about its debt. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Wyndham Hotels & Resorts's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (at least 1 which is concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.