Stock Analysis

TAL Education Group's (NYSE:TAL) P/S Is On The Mark

NYSE:TAL
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TAL Education Group's (NYSE:TAL) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.3x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Consumer Services industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.8x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for TAL Education Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TAL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 19th 2025

How TAL Education Group Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, TAL Education Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think TAL Education Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For TAL Education Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, TAL Education Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 54% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 65% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 26% per annum over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why TAL Education Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of TAL Education Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for TAL Education Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If you're unsure about the strength of TAL Education Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if TAL Education Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.