Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

NYSE:SIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$2.2b

Six Flags Entertainment Valuation

Is SIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SIX ($25.99) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($48.35)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SIX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SIX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SIX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.7x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SIX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
FUN Cedar Fair
17.8x20.1%US$2.3b
PRKS United Parks & Resorts
13.1x9.7%US$3.2b
BOWL Bowlero
17.6x16.2%US$1.8b
LTH Life Time Group Holdings
43.3x28.1%US$3.3b
SIX Six Flags Entertainment
83.8x46.8%US$2.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.8x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SIX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.8x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SIX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SIX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio83.8x
Fair PE Ratio34x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (83.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$25.99
US$30.91
+18.9%
19.2%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
May ’25US$23.53
US$31.18
+32.5%
18.8%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$26.02
US$31.09
+19.5%
18.9%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$26.09
US$30.67
+17.5%
18.8%US$46.00US$22.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$25.48
US$30.33
+19.0%
19.3%US$46.00US$22.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$25.08
US$29.69
+18.4%
20.1%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$25.17
US$29.46
+17.1%
20.1%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$21.00
US$27.93
+33.0%
25.6%US$46.00US$16.00n/a14
Oct ’24US$23.51
US$29.23
+24.3%
21.4%US$46.00US$21.00n/a13
Sep ’24US$23.77
US$29.23
+23.0%
21.4%US$46.00US$21.00n/a13
Aug ’24US$24.15
US$31.46
+30.3%
20.4%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Jul ’24US$25.98
US$33.36
+28.4%
16.9%US$46.00US$25.00n/a14
Jun ’24US$25.26
US$33.13
+31.2%
16.6%US$46.00US$25.00n/a15
May ’24US$23.87
US$32.92
+37.9%
16.9%US$46.00US$24.00US$23.5313
Apr ’24US$26.71
US$33.33
+24.8%
16.9%US$46.00US$24.00US$26.0212
Mar ’24US$26.76
US$29.92
+11.8%
23.6%US$46.00US$20.00US$26.0912
Feb ’24US$27.41
US$29.92
+9.1%
23.6%US$46.00US$20.00US$25.4812
Jan ’24US$23.25
US$28.58
+22.9%
26.3%US$46.00US$18.00US$25.0812
Dec ’23US$24.03
US$28.58
+18.9%
26.3%US$46.00US$18.00US$25.1712
Nov ’23US$22.67
US$30.45
+34.3%
25.7%US$46.00US$18.00US$21.0011
Oct ’23US$17.70
US$31.09
+75.7%
23.9%US$46.00US$20.00US$23.5111
Sep ’23US$22.16
US$30.91
+39.5%
24.1%US$46.00US$20.00US$23.7711
Aug ’23US$23.02
US$43.75
+90.1%
29.3%US$60.00US$24.00US$24.1512
Jul ’23US$23.04
US$47.00
+104.0%
22.8%US$60.00US$24.00US$25.9813
Jun ’23US$29.25
US$50.69
+73.3%
14.8%US$60.00US$32.00US$25.2613
May ’23US$38.27
US$55.00
+43.7%
9.0%US$64.00US$46.00US$23.8713

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Simply Wall Street Pty Ltd (ACN 600 056 611), is a Corporate Authorised Representative (Authorised Representative Number: 467183) of Sanlam Private Wealth Pty Ltd (AFSL No. 337927). Any advice contained in this website is general advice only and has been prepared without considering your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should not rely on any advice and/or information contained in this website and before making any investment decision we recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your situation and seek appropriate financial, taxation and legal advice. Please read our Financial Services Guide before deciding whether to obtain financial services from us.