Six Flags Entertainment Corporation

NYSE:SIX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Six Flags Entertainment Valuation

Is SIX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SIX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SIX ($54.89) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($17.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SIX is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SIX?

Key metric: As SIX is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SIX. This is calculated by dividing SIX's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SIX's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.3x
SalesUS$1.42b
Market CapUS$4.63b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SIX's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SIX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average3.6x
MTN Vail Resorts
2.4x3.9%US$6.8b
PRKS United Parks & Resorts
1.8x2.2%US$3.1b
LTH Life Time Group Holdings
2x9.8%US$5.1b
PLNT Planet Fitness
8.1x11.3%US$8.6b
SIX Six Flags Entertainment
3.3x4.6%US$4.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the peer average (2.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SIX's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

30 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.3x-2.7%US$1.17b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$721.43m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.5%US$265.19m
SIX 3.3xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies30PS01.22.43.64.86+
30 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SIX's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SIX PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SIX is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SIX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
US$33.00
0%
21.4%US$46.00US$24.00n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
US$33.00
0%
21.4%US$46.00US$24.00n/a6
Oct ’25n/a
US$33.00
0%
21.4%US$46.00US$24.00n/a6
Sep ’25n/a
US$33.00
0%
21.4%US$46.00US$24.00n/a6
Aug ’25n/a
US$33.00
0%
21.4%US$46.00US$24.00n/a6
Jul ’25US$32.00
US$32.30
+0.9%
19.7%US$46.00US$24.00n/a10
Jun ’25US$25.45
US$30.91
+21.5%
19.2%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
May ’25US$23.53
US$31.18
+32.5%
18.8%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$26.02
US$31.09
+19.5%
18.9%US$46.00US$22.00n/a11
Mar ’25US$26.09
US$30.67
+17.5%
18.8%US$46.00US$22.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$25.48
US$30.33
+19.0%
19.3%US$46.00US$22.00n/a12
Jan ’25US$25.08
US$29.69
+18.4%
20.1%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Dec ’24US$25.17
US$29.46
+17.1%
20.1%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Nov ’24US$21.00
US$27.93
+33.0%
25.6%US$46.00US$16.00n/a14
Oct ’24US$23.51
US$29.23
+24.3%
21.4%US$46.00US$21.00n/a13
Sep ’24US$23.77
US$29.23
+23.0%
21.4%US$46.00US$21.00n/a13
Aug ’24US$24.15
US$31.46
+30.3%
20.4%US$46.00US$22.00n/a13
Jul ’24US$25.98
US$33.36
+28.4%
16.9%US$46.00US$25.00US$32.0014
Jun ’24US$25.26
US$33.13
+31.2%
16.6%US$46.00US$25.00US$25.4515
May ’24US$23.87
US$32.92
+37.9%
16.9%US$46.00US$24.00US$23.5313
Apr ’24US$26.71
US$33.33
+24.8%
16.9%US$46.00US$24.00US$26.0212
Mar ’24US$26.76
US$29.92
+11.8%
23.6%US$46.00US$20.00US$26.0912
Feb ’24US$27.41
US$29.92
+9.1%
23.6%US$46.00US$20.00US$25.4812
Jan ’24US$23.25
US$28.58
+22.9%
26.3%US$46.00US$18.00US$25.0812
Dec ’23US$24.03
US$28.58
+18.9%
26.3%US$46.00US$18.00US$25.1712
Nov ’23US$22.67
US$30.45
+34.3%
25.7%US$46.00US$18.00US$21.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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