Carrols Restaurant Group, Inc.

NasdaqGS:TAST Stock Report

Market Cap: US$478.6m

Carrols Restaurant Group Valuation

Is TAST undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TAST when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TAST ($9.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($2.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TAST is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TAST?

Key metric: As TAST is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TAST. This is calculated by dividing TAST's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TAST's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.3x
EarningsUS$29.41m
Market CapUS$478.64m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TAST's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TAST vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.9x
DENN Denny's
18.9x30.9%US$340.3m
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings
15.8x9.4%US$385.6m
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings
90.7x169.4%US$457.2m
DIN Dine Brands Global
6x-12.9%US$531.5m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
16.3x22.0%US$478.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TAST is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (16.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TAST's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THRS.F Agility Real Estate
1.7xn/aUS$2.05m
No more companies available in this PE range
TAST 16.3xIndustry Avg. 24.4xNo. of Companies15PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TAST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (20.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TAST's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TAST PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TAST is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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