RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.

NasdaqGM:RICK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$433.2m

RCI Hospitality Holdings Valuation

Is RICK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RICK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RICK ($48.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($129.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RICK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RICK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

RICK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RICK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RICK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.2x
DENN Denny's
16x15.8%US$391.7m
NATH Nathan's Famous
15.4xn/aUS$296.9m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
16.3x22.0%US$478.6m
RUTH Ruth's Hospitality Group
16.9x-1.9%US$670.3m
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings
22.9x51.3%US$433.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RICK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RICK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RICK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (19.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RICK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RICK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.9x
Fair PE Ratio30.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RICK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RICK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$48.49
US$90.50
+86.6%
8.3%US$98.00US$83.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$41.34
US$90.50
+118.9%
8.3%US$98.00US$83.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$44.74
US$90.50
+102.3%
8.3%US$98.00US$83.00n/a2
May ’25US$50.59
US$103.33
+104.3%
11.5%US$115.00US$87.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$56.88
US$107.00
+88.1%
8.7%US$115.00US$94.00n/a3
Mar ’25US$56.92
US$107.00
+88.0%
8.7%US$115.00US$94.00n/a3
Feb ’25US$63.00
US$109.67
+74.1%
10.3%US$120.00US$94.00n/a3
Jan ’25US$66.26
US$115.00
+73.6%
3.5%US$120.00US$110.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$60.56
US$116.33
+92.1%
5.0%US$124.00US$110.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$53.56
US$118.50
+121.2%
5.3%US$125.00US$110.00n/a4
Oct ’24US$60.66
US$121.25
+99.9%
5.4%US$126.00US$110.00n/a4
Sep ’24US$66.13
US$121.25
+83.4%
5.4%US$126.00US$110.00n/a4
Aug ’24US$70.60
US$127.50
+80.6%
11.3%US$150.00US$110.00n/a4
Jul ’24US$75.99
US$131.50
+73.0%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$41.344
Jun ’24US$73.44
US$131.50
+79.1%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$44.744
May ’24US$74.64
US$131.50
+76.2%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$50.594
Apr ’24US$78.17
US$131.50
+68.2%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$56.884
Mar ’24US$85.55
US$131.50
+53.7%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$56.924
Feb ’24US$89.75
US$131.50
+46.5%
11.5%US$150.00US$110.00US$63.004
Jan ’24US$93.19
US$139.33
+49.5%
6.5%US$150.00US$128.00US$66.263
Dec ’23US$91.07
US$112.50
+23.5%
7.4%US$120.00US$100.00US$60.564
Nov ’23US$83.90
US$110.00
+31.1%
7.4%US$120.00US$100.00US$53.563
Oct ’23US$65.34
US$110.00
+68.4%
7.4%US$120.00US$100.00US$60.663
Sep ’23US$65.01
US$111.00
+70.7%
7.5%US$120.00US$100.00US$66.133
Aug ’23US$57.45
US$108.67
+89.1%
7.7%US$120.00US$100.00US$70.603
Jul ’23US$49.57
US$108.67
+119.2%
7.7%US$120.00US$100.00US$75.993

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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