Sweetgreen, Inc.

NYSE:SG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$4.4b

Sweetgreen Valuation

Is SG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate SG's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SG?

Key metric: As SG is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for SG. This is calculated by dividing SG's market cap by their current revenue.
What is SG's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.1x
SalesUS$668.95m
Market CapUS$4.38b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does SG's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for SG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
SHAK Shake Shack
4.1x12.4%US$5.1b
WEN Wendy's
1.7x3.2%US$3.7b
EAT Brinker International
1.2x4.1%US$5.5b
ARCO Arcos Dorados Holdings
0.4x7.6%US$1.8b
SG Sweetgreen
7.1x15.2%US$4.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: SG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does SG's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Hospitality Industry?

29 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
BLMN Bloomin' Brands
0.2x-2.7%US$1.07b
BALY Bally's
0.3x2.2%US$724.68m
TAST Carrols Restaurant Group
0.3x2.9%US$478.64m
GENK GEN Restaurant Group
0.2x18.5%US$260.68m
SG 7.1xIndustry Avg. 1.6xNo. of Companies29PS01.22.43.64.86+
29 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: SG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the US Hospitality industry average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SG's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SG PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.1x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: SG is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$41.25
US$41.60
+0.8%
9.9%US$45.00US$32.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$38.02
US$39.40
+3.6%
10.0%US$45.00US$30.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$34.89
US$38.40
+10.1%
13.4%US$45.00US$27.00n/a10
Sep ’25US$31.61
US$37.20
+17.7%
14.3%US$45.00US$27.00n/a10
Aug ’25US$28.30
US$33.80
+19.4%
15.4%US$45.00US$25.00n/a10
Jul ’25US$29.33
US$33.33
+13.6%
22.1%US$45.00US$17.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$30.75
US$29.88
-2.8%
19.6%US$36.00US$17.00n/a8
May ’25US$19.91
US$24.00
+20.5%
22.9%US$34.00US$16.00n/a8
Apr ’25US$25.36
US$21.63
-14.7%
33.1%US$34.00US$11.00n/a8
Mar ’25US$16.36
US$15.00
-8.3%
16.0%US$19.00US$11.00n/a8
Feb ’25US$11.04
US$13.38
+21.2%
14.9%US$16.00US$10.00n/a8
Jan ’25US$11.30
US$14.13
+25.0%
11.4%US$16.00US$12.00n/a8
Dec ’24US$9.96
US$14.13
+41.8%
11.4%US$16.00US$12.00n/a8
Nov ’24US$10.44
US$15.25
+46.1%
12.2%US$19.00US$13.00US$38.028
Oct ’24US$11.75
US$16.00
+36.2%
10.8%US$19.00US$14.00US$34.898
Sep ’24US$14.18
US$16.00
+12.8%
10.8%US$19.00US$14.00US$31.618
Aug ’24US$14.44
US$16.00
+10.8%
10.8%US$19.00US$14.00US$28.308
Jul ’24US$12.82
US$11.13
-13.2%
18.8%US$15.00US$9.00US$29.338
Jun ’24US$9.50
US$10.86
+14.3%
21.7%US$15.00US$9.00US$30.757
May ’24US$8.08
US$10.86
+34.4%
26.7%US$17.00US$8.00US$19.917
Apr ’24US$7.84
US$11.57
+47.6%
21.1%US$17.00US$10.00US$25.367
Mar ’24US$8.31
US$11.57
+39.2%
21.1%US$17.00US$10.00US$16.367
Feb ’24US$10.47
US$15.29
+46.0%
23.6%US$21.00US$11.00US$11.047
Jan ’24US$8.57
US$19.63
+129.0%
11.9%US$25.00US$17.00US$11.308
Dec ’23US$14.19
US$19.88
+40.1%
11.9%US$25.00US$17.00US$9.968
Nov ’23US$18.24
US$22.00
+20.6%
16.7%US$30.00US$18.00US$10.448

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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